Sample size for winrate, +/- 0.3 BB/100
03-02-2012
, 08:19 PM
03-02-2012
, 08:36 PM
03-02-2012
, 09:22 PM
03-03-2012
, 01:50 PM
03-03-2012
, 04:02 PM
03-04-2012
, 08:00 AM
03-16-2012
, 12:26 AM
Quote:
It depends on how much confidence you want to have in that win rate. For 95% confidence, I think you need over a million hands. Since it's almost impossible to play a million hands under constant conditions, it's pretty much impossible to have that much confidence in your win rate.
I kind of hope I dropped a zero somewhere, but the moral of the story is not to worry about your exact win rate, with a sub-moral of make sure you're winning like twice what you need to live off of if you're playing for a living.
I kind of hope I dropped a zero somewhere, but the moral of the story is not to worry about your exact win rate, with a sub-moral of make sure you're winning like twice what you need to live off of if you're playing for a living.
And I totally agree that game conditions are too variable to have a reliable 1M hand sample unless you can gain those hands in ~6 months or less.