Villain is good LAG/TAG

Stars-$2/$4 (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3: http://www.pokertracker.com

SB: $80.81
BB: $69.05
Hero (UTG): $136.98
BTN: $80.64

SB posts SB $1.00, BB posts BB $2.00

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero has Ac 6h

Hero raises to $4.00, fold, fold, BB calls $2.00

Flop: ($9.00, 2 players) 7c Jh 5c
BB checks, Hero bets $2.00, BB raises to $4.00, Hero calls $2.00

Turn: ($17.00, 2 players) 9d
BB bets $4.00, Hero calls $4.00

River: ($25.00, 2 players) 5d
BB bets $4.00,

Fold. Turn did you in. Even if he barrels 100%, which he should, you don't have enough equity unless he's some how strangely passive with just the right types of hands or defending 64o/43o pf.

Actually, we should just fold the turn. Even with BB auto b/c'ing the river on an ace or 8, it's still a minus ev call. A 9 is the worse card in the deck here.

true but isnt there a possible flush draw on turn still making our call on turn worthwhile since it adds more bluffing hands in his range ?

Quick version of the math based on the assumption, which is very generous to calling, that he's always calling a river raise when we hit and never 3b'ing.

> 39/46 * -1 + 3/46 * (.6963 * 7.25 - (1 - .6963) * 2) + 3/46 * (.6838 * 7.25 - (1 - .6838) * 2) + 1/46 * (.6037 * 7.25 - (1 - .6037) * 2)
[1] -0.1982174

What about something like 66, AT, A8 by the river? (assuming these are all turn calls)

This was my initial impression as well. I think we should fold this turn. I think its tough for villain to have a flush draw without a pair on this pair besides a few Kx & Qx.