Quote:
Originally Posted by antneye
Not overkill. I appreciate the discussion because I seem to be missing some v-bets lately and/or making poor V-bets also.
In this case I was thinking that the hands worse than 77 (lower PP's, UI overcards) would have barreled on the turn. Him check/calling the turn indicated to me that he is looking to get to SD cheaply with a hand that has fairly good showdown value.
If you are villain, what portion of your SB 3! range are you going into C/C mode on turn and river with and which portion are you continuing to barrel on turn and river with?
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Tt, 99, 88 would be the only hands we're value towning ourselves with, and it would be really weak for villain to c /c those on the turn.
He might have ak,at, any ace with a heart, 22,33,44, a5. Even though his 3 bet is so low, I still expect him to loosen up vs a btn raise. Also, he might slowplay the very top of his range.
But the point is, if we're good better than half the time we should bet. And I think ak/at especially is so common here that we need to bet.