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AA in SB against BB AA in SB against BB

04-19-2014 , 02:33 AM
Heres a move i was considering doing in the SB against the Big blind when everyone folded.

I was thinking, limp AA... WHAT? isn't that like the most fishy move EVER? Well hear me out first and then let me know if i'm just completely off track.

Big Blind is (35\23\8). He has around 30% steal defence against SBvBB. So if i raise he'll fold most of the time (around 70% of the time). I noticed he's not playing that great post flop and he isn't a very observant player.

We all know that we should raise when first in the pot in a 6 max game and limping would be giving my hand away and is very fishy. But he's not good enough to notice my fishy move here. He's just playing his cards so if i limp or raise it does't changes anything from his point of view.

Funny thing is that... he is actually tighter in the BBvSB then most reg. Regs would expect loose SB raise and adapt by calling more or 3 betting lighter.
I have a HUGE post flop edge against the guy, why not play HU post flop against him? If i bet he mostlikely folds, if i limp i give him the opportunity to play bad post flop he won't have a clue he's against AA.

What you guys think?
04-19-2014 , 05:51 AM
raise.
04-19-2014 , 06:46 AM
i doubt he folds 70% to sb open. you are proly misinterpreting the stat or the sample has not converged.
04-28-2014 , 08:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Victor
i doubt he folds 70% to sb open. you are proly misinterpreting the stat or the sample has not converged.
this

(35\23\8) and 30% steal defence against SBvBB don't really make sense when taken together. Either one is off and the vpip/pfr converge faster than SBvBB steal defense stat does.

      
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