Quote:
Originally Posted by spanktehbadwookie
If you get doxxed they will accuse you of lying about it.
I missed this event when it happened, but I know it has generated a lot of discussion. I can't believe itf nobody has tried to calculate this out, as it is a tailor made, essentially textbook, Baysian calculation.
Let's say:
P(H)=the probability that if you post some personal info in PU about DIB for a couple of hours, someone will immediately contact his wife and doxx him
P(D|H)=the probability that if someone does doxx him, that he will immediately post about it in PU (and presumably provide entertainment to his tormentor).
P(D|H')=The probability that not being doxxed, dib would take the opportunity to lie about it.
I can't come up with reasonable estimates that play into dib's favor, maybe spanktehbadwookie can help me. Give me some numbers.