Biased is probably not the best word, as just 'not very accurate' is probably a better general view to have on the polling this cycle. (though I could make the argument that some of the polling was indeed biased, but that is beyond the scope of my effort and your understanding)

Anyhow, lets roll that beautiful poll footage shall we?

Michigan



Wisconsin



What science.

So meaningless that you're unable to admit that Hillary won more of those meaningless votes. You're a fkn clown bud.

She didn't win.

Because the popular vote wasn't contested. Get it? I know you're a bit slow but seriously.

She got more votes sure. I've never denied that.

But she didn't win.

You're the clown bud. A pretty thick one at that.

She didn't lose the popular vote....which means that she must have won the popular vote. Whether or not you're awarded anything means ****. And ya, you look fkn ******ed denying that. Fkn ******.

Go fk yourself btw.

Do me a favour and self-ban please.

LOL.

This is where we left off before you bailed on me,

Did somebody end up with more of those meaningless votes, that you admit occurred, or not?

Florida beat Duke tonight in most free throws made.

I feel that it's important to emphasize who won the contest of the most free throws made. And, before anyone says Duke got less free throws, but it wasn't a contest of free throws, they just don't get it. I mean, somebody got more free throws, right?

/sarcasm

You're willing to say "she got more votes in the popular vote", but not "she won the popular vote"? lol indeed. Once again, self-ban please.

Holy ****.

You really are thick as a plank. Without any shadow of a doubt.

Well done.

This ain't a two-way street, you're the idiot here. (Although I guess I am an idiot for giving a fk.)

64 posts and no fantastic fables of wilbstomping? I can wait.

So, I can say you're willfully ignorant and disingenuous, or bigoted and racist. Dealer's choice.

Does this ****ing idiot ever post anything other than pure **** like this? Don't even get me started on 2p2's version of the missing link (5, like you didn't know it was 5).



This place is really going to ****, time to MAGA these mfers

You can say whatever you wish, but I am afraid it does not make it so, Mr. "YaMammyNigga".

Go to school, racist prick.

Whoa now, tiger, I thought we had a temporary ceasefire.

So, not racist or bigoted, and less willfully ignorant than... disingenuous?

We'll go with disingenuous?

The point is, you know as well as I do the state polls, particularly those states, were so weird because the voter suppression couldn't be quantified. It's a trivial factoid at this point. This is the first Pres election since the Voting Rights Act was gutted in 2013, and the effects were more substantial than either side realized. It also explains the popvote-EC disparity.

So, it's a bad look to score points about prognosticating vs your adversaries if you have to do so on the backs of disenfranchised poors and minorities.

Carry on.

Still walking it off, huh? Yeah, it takes awhile. Look at poor Yakmelk, like 3 months and counting.

This dumb statement does not, in fact, help.

Love it when morons who don't know their **** get all condescending. Dan, Michigan polls in 2016 were more accurate than Michigan polls in 2012. They underestimated Obama's win by 5.5 points in the RCP average.

Polling is difficult and state polling is really difficult. But it's not "******ed thinking" to pay attention to polling.

It's "******ed thinking" to think that Clinton was a lock, like most of the very, very dopey people in regular politics did.

It's "******ed thinking" to put weight into obviously Clinton biased (for various reasons) early voting.

It's ******ed thinking to not realize that various late events (Comey in particular) moved the polls meaningfully, and that the "average" on which everyone was relying for their models was therefore a pretty bad measure of reality. The idiots missed this because they were so busy in their left-wing eco chamber, they have no clue how most people think about real world events.

I said all of this in the final days of the race. Numerous cucks actually ripped me for it - that's how stupid they are. Even when the obvious truth is pointed out to them, they still can't see it.

Oh **** this forum finally got good with the Trump W, I can just feel the tears burning behind the eyes of that Oroku bloke. The mad is just so real, sweet.

Overconfidence is a problem among all political beliefs.

Early voting analysis can be informative and predictive (see Nevada.) Saying that it is "******ed thinking" to take into account early vote information is dumb. It is difficult to analyze, though.

Nate's model was pretty good, imo. Again, the polls were reasonably accurate.