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LOL Row Coach...  peak is still here. LOL Row Coach...  peak is still here.

03-13-2017 , 09:26 AM
I already said let's assume it was because of peak oil. It doesn't matter to my point. You still won't answer my questions about the fed and interest rates, and it is very clear why.
03-13-2017 , 10:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SenorKeeed
I already said let's assume it was because of peak oil. It doesn't matter to my point. You still won't answer my questions about the fed and interest rates, and it is very clear why.
Projection at its most transparent.

You can't even be honest about what I said, and you ignore the answers I do give, because your strategy is to just keep stalling and obfuscating the premise. It is very clear why.

As a cultist of traditional economic theory like you are, wouldn't you agree the market should set rates? Why does the Fed need to set them?

In any event, you're asking a question as if you assume I subscribe to traditional economic (growth imperative) theory. I don't.

I've been asking trolls like you since this thread started what has caused first-world nations to all resort to such desperate monetary tricks (for a condition that isn't really getting any better)? Your vague, surface response has been "subprime."

Lowering rates this drastically for this long is a sign of desperation. As is buying our own bonds at $85B/month for years. That's all I'm trying to get you to concede. Saying it's all because of a housing bubble 10 years ago misses the diagnosis, wildly. It's time to admit it.
03-13-2017 , 10:53 AM
Excluding someone from the thread intended to discuss moderation issues seems ****ing awful tbh.
03-16-2017 , 03:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SenorKeeed
what is artificial about the interest rates the fed set in the past ten years? Where would you have set interest rates?


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Price_fixing

FEDHAWK.jpg

03-17-2017 , 09:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
I do not assume growth is inevitable. What's inevitable for modern industrial society is degrowth.
Once again, this is nonsense. You don't understand how technology comes into the picture.

Even if you were 100% right about the economics/physics/geology of oil, you still can't claim that it's inevitable for modern industrial society to experience degrowth. There are all sorts of possible technological advances in solar, nuclear, fusion, etc. that would make it possible.
03-17-2017 , 07:14 PM
Jiggs will always have an excuse for why he is wrong. That's ok. He has to deal with those facts.
03-18-2017 , 05:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjshabado
Once again, this is nonsense. You don't understand how technology comes into the picture.
No, that would be you who doesn't understand ... its limitations.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jjshabado
Even if you were 100% right about the economics/physics/geology of oil,
Well, I don't know about 100%... But certainly exponentially more than you are.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jjshabado
you still can't claim that it's inevitable for modern industrial society to experience degrowth.
I just did. And an endless stream of global developments shows we're right on target.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jjshabado
There are all sorts of possible technological advances in solar, nuclear, fusion, etc. that would make it possible.
It's funny when cornucopians pad their empty assertions with a lot of "possibles" "woulds" and "coulds."

We'd already be in degrowth mode if not for QEx and years of $85B in monthly bond purchasing. Growth has been maintained for the past 5-10 years entirely by unsustainable levels of debt. Obviously, that can not continue.
03-19-2017 , 12:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
I just did. And an endless stream of global developments shows we're right on target.
Lol. RIGHT ON TARGET. Jiggs, it's 2017.


Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
We'd already be in degrowth mode if not for QEx
Great! So we agree we're not in degrowth mode. Progress!
03-19-2017 , 12:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
No, that would be you who doesn't understand ... its limitations.



Well, I don't know about 100%... But certainly exponentially more than you are.



I just did. And an endless stream of global developments shows we're right on target.



It's funny when cornucopians pad their empty assertions with a lot of "possibles" "woulds" and "coulds."

We'd already be in degrowth mode if not for QEx and years of $85B in monthly bond purchasing. Growth has been maintained for the past 5-10 years entirely by unsustainable levels of debt. Obviously, that can not continue.
QE made more oils.
03-20-2017 , 05:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BrianTheMick2
QE made more oils.
Sorta like: Muh credit card made more Xmas gifts.
03-21-2017 , 02:03 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
Sorta like: Muh credit card made more Xmas gifts.
Sort of:

http://money.cnn.com/2017/03/10/inve...ain/index.html
03-21-2017 , 11:17 AM
^ LOL!!!!...

so?

Unfortunately, you'd need at least 500 more of these of the same size to actually have a point.
03-27-2017 , 01:37 PM
Don't you get tired of saying that? You've said it for 8 years now.
03-27-2017 , 03:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjshabado
Don't you get tired of saying that? You've said it for 8 years now.
Don't you get tired of pretending tiny finds like that (twice per year) do anything for your "no problem" argument? You've been relying on them for 8 years now.

Meanwhile, the global economy remains mired in sluggish, debt-based growth, and the extraction/refining industry is cannibalizing it's own assets for loan payments.

Eight years in, and the road map of predicted decline (and/or war because of it) by 2020 remains right on schedule.

Right about US peak. Right about global conventional peak. Right about unconventional's unsustainable bubble. I've seen little doubt the entities we rely on are gonna be right again about global production decline by 2020.
03-27-2017 , 04:02 PM
What is wrong with debt based growth?
03-27-2017 , 08:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
Don't you get tired of pretending tiny finds like that (twice per year) do anything for your "no problem" argument? You've been relying on them for 8 years now.
No, I don't get tired of being right.

Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
Eight years in, and the road map of predicted decline (and/or war because of it) by 2020 remains right on schedule.
LOL. 2015 is now 2020, eh? Don't worry most of us should still be here in 3 years to mock you again.
03-27-2017 , 08:11 PM
And Jiggzzzzzz will still be declaring victory
03-28-2017 , 12:46 AM
I know people hate for this thread to be taken seriously, but..

http://fuelfix.com/blog/2017/03/09/s...in-late-2020s/

Quote:
The global demand for oil could peak as soon as the late 2020s as the world continues to rely more on natural gas and renewable energy sources, Royal Dutch Shell CEO Ben van Beurden said Thursday at the CERAWeek by IHS Markit conference in Houston.
Quote:
That’s partly why Shell said Thursday it’s divesting from most of its Canadian oil sands position by selling its acreage in an $8.5 billion deal to Canadian Natural Resources
Of course, that doesn't mean Shell is planning on giving up.

https://www.theguardian.com/business...-in-wind-power

Quote:
The Shell boss told investors at a company meeting in London last week he did expect oil and gas demand to continue strongly but the company also took its responsibilities to tackle global warming seriously.

“The big challenge, both for society and for a company like Shell is how to provide much more energy, while at the same time significantly reducing carbon dioxide emissions,” he said.

The following day Shell announced it was bidding in a partnership to build two windfarms off the Dutch coast that will be big enough to power 825,000 households.

Shell already holds interests in nine other wind projects in North America and Europe, although spending on wind, solar and hydrogen projects was suspended by former chief executive Jeroen van der Veer in 2009. A substantial solar operation had been largely sold off three years before that.
03-28-2017 , 12:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjshabado
No, I don't get tired of being right.
You're delusional, like Trump... You have about a 9% track record of being "right" on this overall issue. Most of the time, you end up embarrassing yourself.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jjshabado
LOL. 2015 is now 2020, eh? Don't worry most of us should still be here in 3 years to mock you again.
Yes, you attempted this a few times before. And then I posted links to the numerous occasions I referenced 2020. I don't remember you having anymore clever retorts after that. You even acknowledged the 2020 assertion by me right here. Yet now, being dishonest like you are, you're pretending you never saw it.

2015 ended up being the fracking peak. We'll see if that holds. But 2020 is the date the Pentagon JOE rested on way back in 2008 for overall decline.

There's a time period between reaching the peak, and starting the decline. Of course, we've covered that about 3 dozen times too. And you know that.
03-28-2017 , 12:56 PM
WE. ARE. AT. PEAK.
03-28-2017 , 01:44 PM
we absolutely are...
03-28-2017 , 01:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SenorKeeed
WE. ARE. AT. PEAK.
I've been fueling my car using fake oil for a few years now.
04-02-2017 , 01:27 PM
Jiggs, that's you making a 2020 assertion in 2014. I've linked multiple times you posted 2015 - back in 2009.

Do you know how we know we were talking about your 2009 posts and not your 2014 posts? Because the current year is 2017. And 2017 - 8 = 2009. Not 2014.
04-02-2017 , 01:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
I know people hate for this thread to be taken seriously, but..

http://fuelfix.com/blog/2017/03/09/s...in-late-2020s/

Of course, that doesn't mean Shell is planning on giving up.

https://www.theguardian.com/business...-in-wind-power
You know how ****ed up the world has gotten when a major energy company cares more about climate change than the US Government.

And that's not to say I take Shell's actions all that seriously at this point.
04-02-2017 , 02:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjshabado
Jiggs, that's you making a 2020 assertion in 2014. I've linked multiple times you posted 2015 - back in 2009.

Do you know how we know we were talking about your 2009 posts and not your 2014 posts? Because the current year is 2017. And 2017 - 8 = 2009. Not 2014.
LOL!!!!!! ... Please do stfu ... Every time you make the mistake of reviving this thread, you're left looking like a dishonest douche.

Jiggs in 2009, referring to 2020 global date:
Examine the hydrocarbon figures from any international agency the past several years.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2...020-prediction

It's pretty simple, really.
Jiggs again in 2009:
http://www.amblondon.um.dk/en/menu/T...unning+low.htm

The country’s oil and gas reserves in the North Sea will run out by 2018 and 2020 respectively, an alarming report from the Danish Energy Agency states.
Jiggs, yet again in 2009 referring to 2020 decline:
Warning over global oil 'decline'

There is a "significant risk" that global production of conventional oil could "peak" and decline by 2020, a report has warned. The UK Energy Research Council study says there is a general consensus that the era of cheap oil is at an end, but it warns that most governments, including the UK's, exhibit little concern about oil depletion.
Jiggs, this time in early 2010, staying with the 2020 theme:
< 10 years, considering the new (optimistic) accepted date for peak is estimated at 2020.
Liar

      
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