Quote:
Originally Posted by nuggetz87
1. how are you coming up with 28%?
2. why would you lead into someone who is dark betting?
1. VILLAIN has a hit range between 25 to 32% when HERO draws 3 and hits two cards. 348xx for example has 16 outs. If HERO starts with 27xxx VILLAIN has 14 outs to a 1card draw, if VILLAIN hits 1card then it is drawing mostly to 28%, If any of the two cards that HERO hits is also a blocker then VILLAIN has 27-28% (10 outs).
2. To induce a raise (I did not read OPs second post when writing that). But check raising or check calling is better now that I think of it. Check calling cuz of our range gets wider when we play that line meaning more profit from teh big bet streets. There are 4 lines to continue here with and every one of them is right so maybe leading out with the reason to raise a raise adds a fifth way of playing this hand meaning bet, raise, raise, raise, call, bet, raise, raise, raise, call, check, bet, raise, raise, raise, call/fold.
Last edited by doylebrunson1337; 03-22-2017 at 08:53 PM.