Quote:
Originally Posted by DesertCat
In both cases you have position, and drawing rough is less of a concern HU, when the most common hand at showdown is more likely to be a T or 9 than in a multiway pot.
If we draw to 456 we want to hit a 2, 8 or a 9 to have a legit draw. If we hit 3 or 7 we end up with 4567x and 3456x but the hands 2456x, 4568x and 4569x has 1/3 more outs.
And drawing two to 456 we only have 46% chance of hitting a 2,8 or 9 while drawing 3 gives us 60% chance of hitting one of those cards and Im not counting 3 or 7 here but with those two included it is still a better hit rate than being 1/3 underdog drawing to 456.
In position we also look for tens and even 456 pairs for a bluff pat (T-low without a pair in it also bluff if we pat after first draw) but OOP villain can be bluff raising a lot in position putting us in bad spots where we lose minimum 3 bets and even worse 6 bets.
Also if it is a ring game and small blind opens then small blind is probably going to hit lowcards since the earlier 4 that folded pre indicates there is going to rain lowcards so even there (if we now play this hand) we are just under 1/3 underdog.
I'd say to save those hands in a HU duel (2players in the ring) from the button and decide what to draw depending on if BB draws more than 1 card or not and just fold it in BB. Always fold in a ring game but if limped to and we are forced to play I'd say still better to drop the 6 cuz we only have 1/12 equity of hitting a made hand drawing two.