Quote:
Originally Posted by young dude
With A234 after 1st draw, 3 handed, 4 bets pre draw, and everyone drew at least 1, how many bets are you putting in here with 2 draws left? I think I was button, and let's assume it's gonna be 3 handed regardless of how many bets being put in, but only 1 other aggressor with 3rd player just tagging along. One decent player and one very good player (other aggressor).
1) I know this will seem like a stupid question to some of you, but to the more advanced players this is the first question we ask ourselves. WHY are you raising?
2) Have you considered that your outs may (or may not) be tainted? You might be facing some equally strong draws, or draws that are dirtying your ability to make your hand. How comfortable are you with a 7 on the next street? An 8? You really want to make a 5 or a 6, both of which have an equal chance of being tainted as any other premium card (of course factorng in our own card removal adjusts the probability, but I think it makes the concept easier to understand).
3) Vs one opponent who is drawing one to a 5, lets say A345, you have only 53.2% equity with 2 draws remaining. If that opponent has 3456 and will break an 8 then your equity goes up by only 3.5% to 56.7%. Vs 2367 you have 60% equity - finally something to get excited about, but you will rarely see good opponents with this cheese in their range. Now imagine adding a second opponent into the field... this doesn't get too pretty. Lets assume your two opponents hold A64 and 2367, then we have just 52.9% equity.
4) As you can see from #3 above the equities are SUPER slim - but there is some redeeming value. Your hand is disguised, vs an equally made hand such as an 8 you are ahead of all other 8's your opponents may hold (or tied), and you have position on the field allowing you the ultimate deciding factor.
At times there are advantages to raising, at times there are no advantages, and at other times there is nothing but disadvantages. Thats why its important to know the answer to #1 before responding to the OP's question. What is the goal of a raise?