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Well if they're just stubbornly rolling with Batista-Orton with no third participant, I feel very confident it's not going on last. They'd surely stick Taker-Lesnar or Bryan-HHH on last in that case IMO.
Yeah, that's true I guess. Although in an age of unified titles, it'd feel strange to have the title match not go on last.
Also, one other thing to note - even if Punk did legitimately walk out after RR feeling jaded and disappointed he wasn't going to get the WM main event, the subsequent need for a third man in the main event has now created a situation where he can get what he wants.
He's the only face on the roster big enough to be inserted into the WM main event but not currently engaged in another storyline (besides Bryan). He can, as I mentioned before, hold WWE over a barrel if he realises that he can be the answer to their Mania problems. So it's entirely possible that he could still return on Monday, even if the whole walkout thing wasn't a work.