Two Plus Two Publishing LLC Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > Other Poker > Stud

Notices

Stud Discussions of various forms of stud poker.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 07-25-2012, 04:38 AM   #1
grinder
 
Sirocko's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 455
Stud 20/40- c/r 4th vs lead?

What do you think of c/r 4th in spots like these(stealspot) when were in the top of our range & villain catch good. What would be you´re default on 4th & when would you mix it up & what would be youre consideration to lead or c/r.

6th & beyond im just crying & calling.

Poker Stars $20/$40 Limit Stud $4 Ante - 3 players - View hand 1834992
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

3rd Street: (0.6 SB)
Hero: A K A ___Hero completes
Seat 2: xx xx 9 ____Seat 2 brings in for $6____Seat 2 calls
Seat 3: xx xx Q ____Seat 3 folds

4th Street: (2.6 SB) (2 players)
Hero: A K A J ___Hero checks___Hero raises
Seat 2: xx xx 9 J ____Seat 2 bets____Seat 2 calls

5th Street: (3.3 BB) (2 players)
Hero: A K A J 4 ___Hero checks
Seat 2: xx xx 9 J 9 ____Seat 2 checks

6th Street: (3.3 BB) (2 players)
Hero: A K A J 4 J ___Hero bets___Hero calls
Seat 2: xx xx 9 J 9 2 ____Seat 2 raises

7th Street: (7.3 BB) (2 players)
Hero: A K A J 4 J T ___Hero checks___Hero calls
Seat 2: xx xx 9 J 9 2 xx____Seat 2 bets
Sirocko is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-25-2012, 10:22 AM   #2
grinder
 
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 583
Re: Stud 20/40- c/r 4th vs lead?

most villains are betting when checked to on 4th ,so the only question is wether to c/r or not .
i think its optimal ,it looks spazzy and you will get called down alot and if villain improves he might give the free card.im playing 6th&7 the same
kaspydonk is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-26-2012, 02:05 AM   #3
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: montana usa
Posts: 9,073
Re: Stud 20/40- c/r 4th vs lead?

its good when he bets. but when he takes one off for free it costs you dearly
Ray Zee is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-26-2012, 02:27 AM   #4
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Joe Tall's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: at JoeTall
Posts: 15,266
Re: Stud 20/40- c/r 4th vs lead?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray Zee View Post
its good when he bets. but when he takes one off for free it costs you dearly
What Ray said is obviously true. However, in an online game that is overly agressive, especially shorthanded, when our opponent hits 4th within his door cards range, he'll bet a high portion of the time. In addition, when we have our steal-range, we will be checking 4th often to fold.
Joe Tall is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-26-2012, 09:59 AM   #5
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SGspecial's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: ceteris paribus
Posts: 6,515
Re: Stud 20/40- c/r 4th vs lead?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Joe Tall View Post
What Ray said is obviously true. However, in an online game that is overly agressive, especially shorthanded, when our opponent hits 4th within his door cards range, he'll bet a high portion of the time. In addition, when we have our steal-range, we will be checking 4th often to fold.
+1. Also even if villain "gives" (or takes) a free card on 4th, hero's range is seriously underrepped and he may get value on future streets in spots where he wouldn't if he led 4th.

OP: after he raises on 6th, do you really think you have > 3 outs?
SGspecial is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-26-2012, 05:15 PM   #6
Loaded for bear
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: chicago
Posts: 3,237
Re: Stud 20/40- c/r 4th vs lead?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray Zee View Post
its good when he bets.
Not so sure about that.

ProPokerTools Stud Hi Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
dead cards: q
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
*s*s, 99+, KQ, QT, t8 ; js9s53.51% 320,999170
ac ah jdkd46.49% 278,831170

We only gain a percent or so if we include split nines with related kickers. This isn't a great spot for one pair and we shouldn't be shoveling money in. We become a significant favorite if villain bricks the next card, but otherwise we're either flipping or behind.
electrical is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-26-2012, 06:05 PM   #7
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: montana usa
Posts: 9,073
Re: Stud 20/40- c/r 4th vs lead?

its good if he is aggressive player and not so good but still okay if he isnt.
anytime he has an open pair or two straight flush cards on fourth you need to rethink all one pair hands on how to play them.
Ray Zee is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-26-2012, 06:07 PM   #8
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: montana usa
Posts: 9,073
Re: Stud 20/40- c/r 4th vs lead?

in stud rarely will you give up a bet on any street trying to get value later on except with monsters. especially with a high up card as you will be first to act on most rounds.
Ray Zee is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-26-2012, 06:40 PM   #9
Loaded for bear
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: chicago
Posts: 3,237
Re: Stud 20/40- c/r 4th vs lead?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray Zee View Post
in stud rarely will you give up a bet on any street trying to get value later on except with monsters. especially with a high up card as you will be first to act on most rounds.
The hand range that will continue against us is actually a favorite, so getting a bet in here costs us money. And check-raising is a disaster because we're behind the range but have enough hand to continue, while villain will usually have position and likely know our hand

The stud axiom of not giving free cards with the "best" hand will cost us money here, in that when villain continues he's ahead and we paid him for the privilege. Nothing at all wrong with c/c here.
electrical is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-27-2012, 01:14 AM   #10
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Joe Tall's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: at JoeTall
Posts: 15,266
Re: Stud 20/40- c/r 4th vs lead?

Quote:
Originally Posted by electrical View Post
Not so sure about that.

ProPokerTools Stud Hi Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
dead cards: q
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
*s*s, 99+, KQ, QT, t8 js9s53.51% 320,999170
ac ah jdkd46.49% 278,831170

We only gain a percent or so if we include split nines with related kickers. This isn't a great spot for one pair and we shouldn't be shoveling money in. We become a significant favorite if villain bricks the next card, but otherwise we're either flipping or behind.
This is a three-handed, 20/40 mix-game, online. Your range for the opponent is much too small.

ProPokerTools Stud Hi Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
dead cards: q
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
22-KK, *s*s, 8+8+ js9s42.16% 252,845194
ac ah jdkd57.84% 346,961194

Last edited by Joe Tall; 07-27-2012 at 01:21 AM.
Joe Tall is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-27-2012, 03:39 AM   #11
grinder
 
Sirocko's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 455
Re: Stud 20/40- c/r 4th vs lead?

Quote:
Originally Posted by SGspecial View Post
+1. Also even if villain "gives" (or takes) a free card on 4th, hero's range is seriously underrepped and he may get value on future streets in spots where he wouldn't if he led 4th.

OP: after he raises on 6th, do you really think you have > 3 outs?
Im quite confused when he raises on 6th to be honest, & I dont rly have a sample how common it is to check 5th for villains in this spot & how likely he is to make something fancy/spazzy on later street.
Sirocko is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-27-2012, 04:49 AM   #12
Loaded for bear
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: chicago
Posts: 3,237
Re: Stud 20/40- c/r 4th vs lead?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Joe Tall View Post
This is a three-handed, 20/40 mix-game, online. Your range for the opponent is much too small.

ProPokerTools Stud Hi Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
dead cards: q
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
22-KK, *s*s, 8+8+ js9s42.16% 252,845194
ac ah jdkd57.84% 346,961194
Most of the collateral made-up equity in this sim comes from the huge number of small pair and 8+8+ combinations, crap like (22-77)9 (8K)9 (8Q)9 (8A)9 that villain never has after he bets and calls our c/r, so we are still playing against a tighter range when we do the tricky thing on Fourth and get action.

Still think check/call is fine on Four.
electrical is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-27-2012, 10:44 AM   #13
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Joe Tall's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: at JoeTall
Posts: 15,266
Re: Stud 20/40- c/r 4th vs lead?

Quote:
Originally Posted by electrical View Post
Most of the collateral made-up equity in this sim comes from the huge number of small pair and 8+8+ combinations, crap like (22-77)9 (8K)9 (8Q)9 (8A)9 that villain never has after he bets and calls our c/r, so we are still playing against a tighter range when we do the tricky thing on Fourth and get action.

Still think check/call is fine on Four.
Your analysis is result oriented. The range is common for such a game when we make the decision to c/r 4th.
Joe Tall is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-27-2012, 03:09 PM   #14
Loaded for bear
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: chicago
Posts: 3,237
Re: Stud 20/40- c/r 4th vs lead?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Joe Tall View Post
Your analysis is result oriented. The range is common for such a game when we make the decision to c/r 4th.
If we check raise and get called we just put two bets in behind. If we check/call we get one bet in either slightly ahead or behind. If Fourth checks through then we can read the next street almost perfectly and keep the pot small so betting Fifth gives villain a worse price to draw.

What's wrong with check/calling?

I also don't mind a lead, expecting to get called by a one-pair hand or raised by an aggressive player with a draw, because we can lead again on Fifth, denying him a free card if he doesn't improve.

Check/raising just seems tricky with no benefit.
electrical is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply
      

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off



All times are GMT -4. The time now is 05:22 AM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2013, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Content Relevant URLs by vBSEO 3.6.0 ©2011, Crawlability, Inc.
Copyright © 2008-2010, Two Plus Two Interactive