Here's where I had his range:
4 low cards definitely, no question, the top of that range would be OESD with 3 flush...which is actually what he had.
here's what propokertools says (actual hands):
|Hand ||Pot equity ||Scoops ||Wins Hi||Ties Hi||Wins Lo ||Ties Lo|
|Ac, 8h, 2h, 8c||51.59% ||232,495||309,509||142||120,468||198|
|4s, 5h, 3s, 6s||48.41% ||213,389||290,349||142||124,511||198|
so I was thinking I was behind, when actually I'm marginally ahead.
3rd was a 4 way limped pot. Entering 4th and facing villians open I figured a raise would push out the other two, which it did.
Villians reraise was unexpected. I do have an overpair and I would have expected villian to respect that and just call. Thats why I said I thought he was willing to play for stacks, the only thing that stopped him at that point was being limited to pot size.
My plan was: get to heads up, and push him off his hand on 5th if he caught a brick, when he would have enough stack left (had he just called on 4th) to not be pot-committed.
But with his raise, can I really push him off with a brick on 5th when he has so little behind? My thought was I have a better chance pushing him off here, given that if he catches 5th, his low is made and he may have a straight as well, so Im buried.