Ran some more sims on this but my computer crashed, its important to know whether a99 is rainbow (i assumed it was) and the dead cards folded ahead of us, I'm assuming no dead 9 or aces
Dead low cards improve our equity slightly, high cards hurt them
Hero has 27%-28% equity vs exposed cards so we are pushing a fairly small edge, especially vs the other ace
Icm considerations are very real, I'm starting to think that just calling might be best here, if 2 bets come back we can fold.. if 1 bet comes back we can pot control and fold 4th sometimes
As played, hero was only a narrow favorite over a66
Calling looks pretty weak and has the danger of turning our hand face up so maybe limping a range along the lines of:
Hand | Pot equity | Scoops | Wins Hi | Ties Hi | Wins Lo | Ties Lo |
---|
a99, a39,987, 986, a[2-4]9, 999, aa9, kk9, qq9, jj9, tt9 | 26.09% | 76,751 | 193,310 | 256 | 51,384 | 354 |
a | 27.64% | 79,911 | 150,165 | 150 | 119,429 | 648 |
8 | 23.13% | 64,622 | 132,970 | 231 | 93,287 | 464 |
3 | 23.14% | 65,262 | 123,181 | 111 | 110,318 | 560 |
is optimal
again, dead cards remain very important and may slightly alter the exact composition of hands we want to limp in this spot
would like to hear other poster's thoughts, as i am playing more stud games lately and have lots to learn
Last edited by monikrazy; 01-02-2017 at 05:22 PM.