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| Stud Discussions of various forms of stud poker. |
06-27-2010, 09:11 PM
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#1
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: oblibious
Posts: 4,108
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3/6 Razz - Did I play this poorly?
I am still quite new to the FT razz scene so i don't quite know who's who. thoughts?
Full Tilt Poker $3/$6 Limit Razz $0.50 Ante - 8 players
2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked
3rd Street: (1.333 SB)
Seat 1: xx xx Q  ____Seat 1 calls
Seat 2: xx xx K  ____ Seat 2 brings in for $1____Seat 2 folds
Hero: 3  8  4  ___Hero completes
Seat 4: xx xx K  ____Seat 4 folds
Seat 5: xx xx 7  ____Seat 5 folds
Seat 6: xx xx T  ____Seat 6 folds
Seat 7: xx xx 7  ____Seat 7 folds
Seat 8: xx xx 3  ____Seat 8 folds
4th Street: (3.667 SB) (2 players)
Seat 1: xx xx Q  A  ____ Seat 1 raises
Hero: 3  8  4  J  ___ Hero bets___Hero calls
5th Street: (3.833 BB) (2 players)
Seat 1: xx xx Q  A  2  ____ Seat 1 raises
Hero: 3  8  4  J  7  ___ Hero bets___Hero calls
6th Street: (7.833 BB) (2 players)
Seat 1: xx xx Q  A  2  9  ____Seat 1 calls
Hero: 3  8  4  J  7  8  ___ Hero bets
7th Street: (9.833 BB) (2 players)
Seat 1: xx xx Q  A  2  9  xx____ Seat 1 raises
Hero: 3  8  4  J  7  8  5  ___ Hero bets___Hero ??
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06-27-2010, 10:19 PM
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#2
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Lafayette, LA
Posts: 4,576
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Re: 3/6 Razz - Did I play this poorly?
i really don't like the lead on 6th as you have played the hand passively throughout and a good villain will pick up on it and usually raise...as for 7th; idk...it's obv villain is on a wheel draw but you did improve, and he's calling with his 9 every time, so it's really tough btw bet or c/c
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06-29-2010, 12:36 PM
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#3
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: montana usa
Posts: 8,166
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Re: 3/6 Razz - Did I play this poorly?
you probably should have checked 6th. and let him bet his nine on 7th for value at you so you dont have to lose two bets on the end when beat.
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06-29-2010, 01:40 PM
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#4
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Best klepto-plutocracy in the world
Posts: 6,067
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Re: 3/6 Razz - Did I play this poorly?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray Zee
you probably should have checked 6th. and let him bet his nine on 7th for value at you so you dont have to lose two bets on the end when beat.
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obv villain is a bit of a maniac, but betting a 9 for value on 7th after raising 4th and 5th is just crazy. Hero should be able to snap fold worse than an 8. However, villain should be paying off a huge % of the time with a 9 low when hero bets since it's a big pot and hero played it passively when raised. With his rough 8 low, hero is a 3:1 favorite to have the best hand at showdown so c/c would be a crime.
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06-29-2010, 02:14 PM
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#5
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Lafayette, LA
Posts: 4,576
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Re: 3/6 Razz - Did I play this poorly?
i'm trying to figure out how you figured hero is a 3:1 fav at shodown ?
i ran this sim but it's obv wrong
345788j 91.54% 549,213 0
(6-6-)a29q* 8.46% 50,787 0
Last edited by camz2895; 06-29-2010 at 02:20 PM.
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06-29-2010, 03:53 PM
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#6
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: montana usa
Posts: 8,166
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Re: 3/6 Razz - Did I play this poorly?
well if he could never bet his nine then hero would always fold his eight if he made it.
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06-29-2010, 04:01 PM
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#7
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 12,170
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Re: 3/6 Razz - Did I play this poorly?
you need to at least wrap the A with the parens unless you think he could have an A down for a pair. I still get like 87 or 88% though...
Edit: something is wrong here. Check out this link, where villain should have the nuts a lot, but it says we're a 4:1 favorite
http://www.propokertools.com/simulat...7-6-a2%299q%2A
I can't find a single case that's as bad as the range case, so I don't see how the whole range could be so bad for villain.
Last edited by RustyBrooks; 06-29-2010 at 04:08 PM.
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06-29-2010, 05:30 PM
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#8
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Best klepto-plutocracy in the world
Posts: 6,067
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Re: 3/6 Razz - Did I play this poorly?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray Zee
well if he could never bet his nine then hero would always fold his eight if he made it.
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Theoretically true, but I don't usually count on my opponents to do the right thing. Especially getting 11:1 on a call. Of course, villain could bet it as bluff instead of a value bet, if he thought hero was capable of folding his 8 if he made it. It wouldn't have to work very often.
Quote:
Originally Posted by RustyBrooks
you need to at least wrap the A with the parens unless you think he could have an A down for a pair. I still get like 87 or 88% though...
Edit: something is wrong here. Check out this link, where villain should have the nuts a lot, but it says we're a 4:1 favorite
http://www.propokertools.com/simulat...7-6-a2%299q%2A
I can't find a single case that's as bad as the range case, so I don't see how the whole range could be so bad for villain.
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This is the sim I ran:
| Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
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| 345788j | 73.39% | 440,312 | 0 | | (5-5-a2)9q* | 26.61% | 159,688 | 0 |
Obv villain's range is somewhat debatable (but hero does in fact have two 8's, not an 8 and a 9). I guess he could also have paired the 2 and still raised 5th, but I'm inclined to believe he made a wheel draw there.
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06-29-2010, 05:38 PM
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#9
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 12,170
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Re: 3/6 Razz - Did I play this poorly?
Yeah I entered 89 accidentally. But I still don't understand the results I got. Try each individual hand in the range, and you get less than 80% equity for hero on each one, yet it comes up with an average of 80%. It's either including some hand in the range it shouldn't, or I'm missing some, but I don't see how.
Range is (7-6-A2)
34 66.6
35 66.65
36 69.73
37 60.48
45 69.7
46 72.76
47 63.69
56 72.7
57 63.54
67 75.78
This can't possibly average to 80.3 which is what it gives for the whole range.
In youur 5-5- case with 88 and not 98, you have
34 69.66
35 69.68
45 72.77
again all of these are under the reported average for 5- 5- which is 73.46
I'm going to page bachfan and see if he can tell me what's up
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06-29-2010, 05:48 PM
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#10
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Best klepto-plutocracy in the world
Posts: 6,067
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Re: 3/6 Razz - Did I play this poorly?
Quote:
Originally Posted by RustyBrooks
Yeah I entered 89 accidentally. But I still don't understand the results I got. Try each individual hand in the range, and you get less than 80% equity for hero on each one, yet it comes up with an average of 80%. It's either including some hand in the range it shouldn't, or I'm missing some, but I don't see how.
Range is (7-6-A2)
34 66.6
35 66.65
36 69.73
37 60.48
45 69.7
46 72.76
47 63.69
56 72.7
57 63.54
67 75.78
This can't possibly average to 80.3 which is what it gives for the whole range.
In youur 5-5- case with 88 and not 98, you have
34 69.66
35 69.68
45 72.77
again all of these are under the reported average for 5- 5- which is 73.46
I'm going to page bachfan and see if he can tell me what's up
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excellent point. My standalone razz calc gives me 71% equity for my range, which looks a lot more reasonable. Turn on the bach signal and get this looked into!
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06-29-2010, 06:06 PM
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#11
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grinder
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Colorado
Posts: 677
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Re: 3/6 Razz - Did I play this poorly?
I'll take a look at this
- bachfan, ppt guy
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06-29-2010, 07:50 PM
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#12
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Lafayette, LA
Posts: 4,576
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Re: 3/6 Razz - Did I play this poorly?
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07-01-2010, 04:21 PM
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#13
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grinder
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Colorado
Posts: 677
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Re: 3/6 Razz - Did I play this poorly?
I have confirmed this is a bug. Thank you for bringing this to my attention, guys. The bug affects sims with seven cards specified where a hand has a range of hands for both the first two down cards and the final downcard.
Examples of affected hands:
(9-9-8)765*
5-4-K765*
Examples of unaffected hands
(7-7-)789J
9876JT*
235699T
I ran some statistical tests, and have confirmed that the distribution of hands is not correct. Blasted hand distributions! In a nutshell, for the affected hands, the last card is pairing more often than it should. I know how to fix the hand distro algorithm, now I just need to find time to do it.
I'll post here and on twitter when it's fixed. Sorry for the bad numbers - this kind of bug makes me physically ill.
- bachfan, PPT dude
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07-01-2010, 04:29 PM
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#14
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Best klepto-plutocracy in the world
Posts: 6,067
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Re: 3/6 Razz - Did I play this poorly?
Quote:
Originally Posted by bachfan
I have confirmed this is a bug. Thank you for bringing this to my attention, guys. The bug affects sims with seven cards specified where a hand has a range of hands for both the first two down cards and the final downcard.
Examples of affected hands:
(9-9-8)765*
5-4-K765*
Examples of unaffected hands
(7-7-)789J
9876JT*
235699T
I ran some statistical tests, and have confirmed that the distribution of hands is not correct. Blasted hand distributions! In a nutshell, for the affected hands, the last card is pairing more often than it should. I know how to fix the hand distro algorithm, now I just need to find time to do it.
I'll post here and on twitter when it's fixed. Sorry for the bad numbers - this kind of bug makes me physically ill.
- bachfan, PPT dude
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top notch customer service imo
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07-01-2010, 09:11 PM
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#15
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2011 $10k Stud8 Champion
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Running good under that ball cap
Posts: 5,032
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Re: 3/6 Razz - Did I play this poorly?
wow, awesome! can we take up a collection for him or something?
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