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MTTSNG Discussion and analysis of MTTSNGs.

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Old 08-09-2012, 05:18 AM   #1
adept
 
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some restealing maths

hey everyone

im just wondering whether this restealing math is correct
say we are in the BB with 20bb stack and an agressive opponet OTB who opens ATC raises 3x the BB... we hold T9s and are wondering whether shoving will be profitable assuming he only calls with 11% of his opening range (i stoved a standard tight calling range)

here is the equation:
[19bbs(0.36)-19bb(0.64)]*0.1 + [3.5bb(0.9)]

first part of equation is how much we lose when called the second half is how much we win when they fold. have i done this right?

the next question i have is if this is correctly constructed how do i mathematically add in if someone is only say opening 80% of BTNs or 60% and i am considering a resteal??
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Old 08-09-2012, 05:33 AM   #2
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Re: some restealing maths

Wrong forum imho, but:

After posting the BB is no longer part of your stack, so you can win 21.5 BB and only lose 19BB.

When somebody is opening 80% and calling your resteal with a 10%-range you get a fold 87.5% of the time (0.7/0.8).
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Old 08-09-2012, 05:52 AM   #3
adept
 
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Re: some restealing maths

Quote:
Originally Posted by anaconda disease View Post
[19bbs(0.36)-19bb(0.64)]*0.1 + [3.5bb(0.9)]
Should be 21.5bb as Tregon pointed out.

Quote:
Originally Posted by anaconda disease View Post
[19bbs(0.36)-19bb(0.64)]*0.1 + [3.5bb(0.9)]
If your opponent opens less than ATC, then you need to change the bolded parts in the equation to the ranges he r/c's and r/f's respectively as a percentage of his total opening range. For example, if he opens 60% and calls 30%, the numbers would be 0.5 and 0.5. If he opens 20% and calls 5%, the numbers would be 0.25 and 0.75, etc.
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Old 08-09-2012, 05:57 AM   #4
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Re: some restealing maths

you can study this:

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/23...nk-you-824728/

all the formula are disclosed
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Old 08-09-2012, 06:17 AM   #5
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Re: some restealing maths

Ostensibly the same as the thread you started in SSMTT. No need to post it everywhere.

You might also want to visit the Poker Theory forum; they'll likely have some good stuff on all sorts of poker maths.
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