hey, after a major downswing of 350 buyin last month i am now suffering from a very welcome upswing
I am still looking to improve so last couple of days i have looked at the hands played in my db by some solid regs. Most spots were the std shove and call in chip ev mode. But two spots i found very interesting. They were played by CândidoBerto. This player has an roi of 40% over 4k games. Still a small sample, but my guess we can learn something from him.
Hand 1:
First hand of FT. 9 man left. Avg stack distribution. Villain is utg with 9bb and shoves with 44.
In nash this is correct. But if you tweak the calling ranges ( nash gives them 3-5% which is pretty tight) it becomes a very big fold. But if we double up here we can use our increased chip utility for a top3 finish. So might be worth it. Up until today i always folded this hand.
Hand 2:
Still early on the FT. 8 man left. Villain minraises utg (15bb) . The B 3bets (12BB) with AQo, and the BB rejams for 12bb. Villain snaps it off with 99s. His 99 hold up against AQ and AK and he wins a monter pot. Again if you put this in nash it even tells you to fold AKs. And only call with QQ+.
Your thoughts on both spots?