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River bluff

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08-27-2016 , 11:08 AM

pozi537

enthusiast

Join Date: Dec 2015 Posts: 74

Villain was a fish on a 50 hands sample.On the river he leads a 30% pot size bet.I think that this bet is a total blocking bet or a bluff, cause almost never he got a queen there as i block JQ , KQ , AQ would 3 bet mostly.The only problem as i see the hand again is that teh effective stack is short.What do you think?

Poker Stars, $1.36 Buy-in (40/80 blinds, 10 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37420136

Hero (CO): 1,626 (20.3 bb)
BTN: 3,673 (45.9 bb)
SB: 1,186 (14.8 bb)
BB: 1,253 (15.7 bb)
UTG+1: 1,617 (20.2 bb)
UTG+2: 1,704 (21.3 bb)
MP1: 2,021 (25.3 bb)
MP2: 2,878 (36 bb)
MP3: 1,091 (13.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with J

5 folds, Hero raises to 164, 2 folds, BB calls 84

Flop: (458) T

(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 228, BB calls 228

Turn: (914) 4

(2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: (914) Q

(2 players)
BB bets 240, Hero raises to 1,224 and is all-in, BB calls 611 and is all-in

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08-27-2016 , 11:24 AM

matteuszk

centurion

Join Date: Feb 2013 Posts: 146

Couldn't he call pre with connectors / gap connectors in clubs? He could have like 89, 9J, KJ, even AJ if he sees you as a tight player. He could have an intention of x/r the turn, but since you checked back he decided to bet river?

08-27-2016 , 04:29 PM

Uhrenknecht

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 3,896

betting 26% on the river is such a easy bet for him because he only have to get a fold in 20% on the time.

Given that fact a reraise is good for taking that money, but on the other hand if he was betting A hi here, then he gets odds to call if he puts you on A or K hi, which you definitely are having in your range regularly.

08-31-2016 , 08:11 PM

wanderer_pro

journeyman

Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 290

Quote:

Originally Posted by Uhrenknecht

Your post doesnt make any sense IMO. What Ax would he bet there and WHY? Heros range is very weak OTR and he could easily valuebet any pair up to this point. Hero's jam looks is polarizing to flushes (all he bets OTR or set of Q, that never shoves the river, because villain could have a flush, and hero can't) Therefore, this bluff doesnt make sense IMO

Additionally, if you read him as a fish, why do you attemt a bluff? They don't fold ever..

09-01-2016 , 06:01 PM

Leia Amidala

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2015 Posts: 451

+1 to wanderer-pro

OP you have probably seen vids about blockers, gto , etc. But this is a 1.36$ sng full of fish. And you exploit fish by milking them with the second best hand. Not advanced bluff lines.

Sure villain could have a med hand which he tries to block bet the river. but can he fold it? probably not. Besides villain can also have a lot of strong hands. His check on the turn does not weaken his range.

09-02-2016 , 05:10 PM

Corpsey

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 438

Massive range disadvantage on this flop. Checking back 2 overs here as it would suck having to fold the best hand there, or at least a hand with decent equity.

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