2 tables left. V is playing his second orbit at the table and I have no real reads besides that he has been min raising a lot in LP with his small stack.

His calling range should be around 7.5% 77+A8s+ATo+KJs+AJo+KQo. What can we reshove for this situation to be +cEV? Should we consider $EV here? Thanks for advice.


[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $1.36 Buy-in (300/600 blinds, 50 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #13505872

MP: 13,525 (22.5 bb)
CO: 11,820 (19.7 bb)
BTN: 7,369 (12.3 bb)
Hero (SB): 6,384 (10.6 bb)
BB: 3,000 (5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 4 A
2 folds, BTN raises to 1,200, Hero raises to 6,334 and is all-in, BB folds, BTN calls 5,134

Flop: (13,518) K 6 3 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: (13,518) 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (13,518) 3 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

only shove for value no fe with 10bb

To make this shove okay, you would need to know that villain is raising and folding with a higher than average frequency. Without that information, you will tend to see only hands that beat you in these situations OR be called by KQ type hands (which is not even that good).

I understand. But I usually dont have enough hands to look at f23b% in a turbo. Thats why I usually exctract my info from V's vpip/pfr as well as his stack size. I think my biggest mistake was trying to light 3bet a laggy player.

exactly. you usually don't have enough hands. that's exactly why you should fold this the overwhelming majority of the time. the times when it's ok to shove, you will know why because you will have a clear reason.