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MTTSNG Discussion and analysis of MTTSNGs.

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Old 07-20-2012, 08:51 PM   #1
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question about sng stats

I have a question about my stats. Sorry if it's in the wrong place.

I have been playing 45 man turbos. Before that I was doing 180 mans.

Over the last 100 000 hands I have the following two stats;

winnings: $56702
$ (ev adjusted): $487949

So as I read it I have won 1/8th the chips I should have. Am I reading that correctly or am I completely off my rocker.

And is that a 'normal' figure. Like, do other people get similar outcomes. Because it seems pretty excessive to me.

oh, and another couple stats;

busted keyboards: 3
smashed mice:5

Given the first two stats I think the second two are pretty much where they should be....no?
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Old 07-20-2012, 09:27 PM   #2
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Re: question about sng stats

doesn't mean a lot. It doesn't take equity in a tournament into account. $100 tournaments are the same as $0.10 tournaments.

e.g. If you had played a $1 torn with 10,000 players and gone reasonably deep and lost a big pot for 500,000 chips when you were hot favorite, it can blow out your graph as it would take a lot of wins in the 45s to 'catch that back up'...
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Old 07-20-2012, 09:34 PM   #3
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Re: question about sng stats

well that's just a single example though. Over time as you got more hands in at later stages those numbers should converge.

Plus I don't think equity in the tourney really applies here. This is just a hand by hand measurement of how many chips I am expected to win compared to how many I do win.

That's how I understand it anyways. If I'm wrong then I guess it explains a lot.
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Old 07-21-2012, 04:24 AM   #4
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Re: question about sng stats

Also each chip doesnt necessarily translate to real dollars. There is a lot of good literature out there about it.

There are plenty of examples these books can explain better than I can.
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Old 07-21-2012, 01:52 PM   #5
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Re: question about sng stats

That chip deficit can occur in two flips in late game 180's. Try bb/100 vs EVbb/100, should give a better idea, though still not too much should be read into it.
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Old 07-22-2012, 12:40 AM   #6
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Re: question about sng stats

ok...yeah. I get what you guys are saying now.

I went back and played a couple 180's and placed a couple firsts and a second and now my numbers have totally changed.

Insane how a few hands can have such a huge effect on a 100 000 hand sample.

Thanks for you replies....sry i didn't get them at first.
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Old 07-23-2012, 02:34 PM   #7
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Re: question about sng stats

seems like a joke post but ill reply anyways.
turbo sngs, especially 45 mans compared to 9 mans you are going to be flipping so much, and if you arent flipping, you are playing way too tight and blinding out too much.
there is insane variance in these, play a few thousand sngs at least before looking at results at all.
if losing an allin as 80% fav bothers you, find another game.
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