Quote:
Originally Posted by Eirik227
Why would you not compare two 3k samples? That's the definition of variance.
My point is that playing 800 field tournaments with a 50+% ROI will be quite similar if not lower variance than 180s with 20% ROI in terms of what downswings and breakeven stretches we can expect. The fact that they take longer is completely irrelevant
I'm not talking about Hourly rate, not in terms of expected return anyway. I'm saying you cant compare a 3k sample from each if in real terms it takes you 3 times as long to achieve said sample in one format. I'm talking in real terms as related to the resource we are all restricted by ie. time.
My mortgage is due once a month. It has to be paid once a month. If I can only get 1/3 sample done in that month then obviously that sample is going to be greater effected by variance.
Yes greater expected Roi will make us more resilient to variance, but we therefore have to weight up the difference in expectation in either format.
I'm kind of arguing against myself here as I'm now playing more MTT then MTSNG but I'm playing on another site then stars with smaller field and softer fields to. But this is about maximising expectation not minimising variance.
I'm not arguing against OP incorporation some into his game it just in means you have to adjust your br strategy in my opinion. ( the amount you have to do this depends on what you think your difference in roi is going to be)