KQ flop situation early stages - MTTSNG -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

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KQ flop situation early stages

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01-12-2014 , 09:01 AM

linshiq

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 175

30/60 No Limit Holdem
FullTiltPoker
9 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
$4 + $0.40 Rush On Demand

Stacks:
UTG Geralt555 (3,370) 56bb
UTG+1 RICH7156 (1,910) 32bb
MP1 LiaoZhiShan (8,395) 140bb
MP2 besixxx (1,910) 32bb
MP3 slaby23 (1,685) 28bb
CO linshiq (4,517) 75bb
BTN sumbat5454 (6,012) 100bb
SB duckneck (6,648) 111bb
BB unklepig (975) 16bb

Blinds: 30/60

Pre-Flop: (90, 9 players) linshiq is CO K

5 folds, linshiq raises to 120, 2 folds, unklepig calls 60

Flop: 4

(270, 2 players)
unklepig checks, linshiq bets 105, unklepig goes all-in 855, linshiq calls 750

Villain is random.

01-12-2014 , 09:31 AM

AAsnapfold

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 220

i call it getting 2 to 1 odds . with less don't mind calling or folding.
think he mostly have a pair or a draw.

01-12-2014 , 10:49 AM

RaiseAgainst

adept

Join Date: Mar 2013 Posts: 1,142

He's not getting 2 to 1. Fold regardless.

01-12-2014 , 01:45 PM

fidstar-poker

I'm gonna need a hacksaw

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 32,984

sigh fold

01-12-2014 , 08:29 PM

Bilo321

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 315

there are definitly draws in villains range but the fact that we have blockers to some straight draws makes it a little bit more unlikely. So mostly we have to improve our hand. lets assume every K,Q, and T gives us the lead, makes 10 outs, so odds are 3,7:1.
We have to pay 750 to win a pot of 1230, which gives us 1,64:1 odds.
mathematically a clear fold.

01-13-2014 , 01:52 AM

dguia

adept

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 789

Fold

01-13-2014 , 11:39 AM

Jouny

newbie

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 28

fold

01-13-2014 , 03:11 PM

Longy2

journeyman

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 204

I wouldn't cbet this flop, it is pretty wet and smacks villains range. Plus getting a free card here is great, we have 10 cards to improve our hand to top pair or a straight.

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