Quote:
Originally Posted by Corpsey
Some people approach HU differently than non-HU situations. Villain playing 32/17/5 (135 hands) there's clearly a big gap between their VP$IP and PFR, showing their tendencies to either limp pre, flat raises pre... or both. Also, with the PFR at 17%, we definitely can't rule out the fact that villain could be looking to limp/jam in this spot ~20bbs deep (or, indeed, limp/call shove at this depth).
We are going to realise a chunk of equity here by just checking preflop and playing deeper with a likely skill edge, albeit OOP, is where we're going to make our money vs this fishy looking player. If we are going to do anything, then raising to ~3x and folding to a shove is the other option. Would just hate r/f this hand pre though.
Regarding the ATC (but not top x%) shove > check here, I just can't find the numbers to back that up playing around with the ranges. We would have to be pretty bad postflop (not realising as much equity as we thought) or we'd have to be pretty confident that there's almost no limp/call in villain's range - something I don't think we can do on the basis of one hand HU with them.
Also, seems like a ton of risk and loads of variance, when we should be able to win vs this guy a big % of the time by making lots of good decisions and utilising our skill-edge postflop.
i see that biggest problem is that i said ''but not top of the range''... range here should be equally balanced obv. so 3x hands with no postflop equity that we will r/f and hands that we're going to r/c, shove those JTs QJo KTs Axs 22-77 type of hands. and x back suited connectors/gappers and maybe few Ax Kx with sd value...
i personally have QJo in my 20bb shove range (or limp shove) bvb vs regs, but i dont see many differences bcs guys on these levels NEVER have some balanced limp/call plan and usually they will fold 4/5 times when they limp in this situation. And QJo will probably play pretty good vs his limp/calling range as it tends to be pairs/Axs so just shoving is a huge +ev