FT Bubble spot $8 180 - MTTSNG -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

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FT Bubble spot $8 180

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08-23-2015 , 02:39 AM

Kurt Beefstick

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 213

What do you reckon, is this a close spot? 10 players left.

Dont know Villain and tables have just been rebalanced so this is my first hand on this table.

Poker Stars, $7.34 Buy-in (800/1,600 blinds, 150 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37078785

SB: 19,888 (12.4 bb)
Hero (BB): 22,581 (14.1 bb)
MP: 24,192 (15.1 bb)
CO: 20,768 (13 bb)
BTN: 29,829 (18.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A

3 folds, SB raises to 19,738 and is all-in, Hero ?

Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.

08-23-2015 , 03:26 AM

LektorAJ

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 7,826

I actually thought this was a standard call with these stack sizes, but I tried it in a STT calculator using the 180 payouts (with made up stack sizes for the other 5 players to make it total 270K) and it comes out as:

SB 68.9%, 22+ Kx+ Q2s+ Q5o+ J2s+ J7o+ T2s+ T6o+ 93s+ 96o+ 84s+ 86o+ 73s+ 75o+ 63s+ 65o 52s+ 43s

called by:
BB 22.9%, 55+ A2s+ A5o+ K8s+ K9o+ QTs+ QJo

So it's really borderline.

08-23-2015 , 04:30 AM

Kurt Beefstick

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 213

Wow.....quick response, with stats. Thanks Lektor.
So it's close and thats assuming Villain is shoving that wide. Is that a standard range for SB on the FT bubble?
Just checked OPR and V is 99.92% in 2015 with $100k winnings.

08-23-2015 , 07:52 AM

LektorAJ

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 7,826

^ Then he'll probably be that wide by default. Depends on your image in his eyes. If he thinks you're tight then he would be even wider.

If he thinks you're loose then he'll be tighter and your A5o is a fold.

08-24-2015 , 02:30 AM

Kurt Beefstick

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 213

Not that is matters but Hero called and Villain flipped over A8o. Hero rivered a wheel and unleashed multiple fist pumps.
Hero then internally debated whther the call was right and posted it to 2+2.

08-24-2015 , 03:27 AM

oldskool87

adept

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 843

I think it's a pretty clear cut call, I can't say for sure but if villain is a reg at 180s I would expect him to have many top hands out of his range which he would be inducing with

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