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didnt c bet on dry flop with top set vs fish didnt c bet on dry flop with top set vs fish

10-30-2015 , 08:39 AM
PokerStars - $6.42+$0.58|10/20 Ante 3 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP: 94.9 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
MP+1: 73.9 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
MP+2: 72.9 BB (VPIP: 14.81, PFR: 12.86, 3Bet Preflop: 4.76, Hands: 81)
CO: 72.9 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
Hero (BTN): 72.9 BB
SB: 58.95 BB (VPIP: 66.67, PFR: 66.67, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 4)
BB: 74.4 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
UTG: 74.4 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
UTG+1: 79.75 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 50.00, Hands: 4)

9 players post ante of 0.15 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.85 BB) Hero has Q Q

UTG raises to 2 BB, fold, MP calls 2 BB, fold, MP+2 calls 2 BB, fold, Hero raises to 15.85 BB, fold, fold, fold, MP calls 13.85 BB, fold

Flop: (38.55 BB, 2 players) 7 Q 4
MP checks, Hero checks

Turn: (38.55 BB, 2 players) 5
MP bets 10 BB, Hero raises to 24.25 BB, MP calls 14.25 BB

River: (87.05 BB, 2 players) 3
MP bets 16 BB, Hero calls 16 BB

Spoiler:
MP shows 6 A (Straight, Seven High) (Pre 28%, Flop 3%, Turn 18%)
Hero mucks Q Q (Three of a Kind, Queens) (Pre 72%, Flop 97%, Turn 82%)
MP wins 119.05 BB
10-31-2015 , 10:53 AM
Why do we think he's a fish?

If you are worried on the flop that you have the deck crippled but he's too bad not to play fit-or-fold on Q74r, then maybe just be 1/5 pot to give him an extra chance to spew.

On the wet turn jam the last 50 in the the 58.55.
10-31-2015 , 11:34 AM
Thanks for your response, ive read some of your responses to other threads and I appreciate your opinion.
Do you not think we lose to much value by shoving the turn vs his range.
I mean 6x, turned flush drawers and 2 pairs are the only hands in his range that have any real equity vs us but we probably only getting called by his 2 pair and lower sets. and really with my large raise pre there really shouldnt be many/any 2 pairs in his range on this board.
what about hands like a7, a4s, aq, kq, qjs and pocket pairs 88-qq we just fold all this out which we have in such bad shape/ drawing dead?
Think maybe I should of raised the turn bigger but not shoved, maybe to 28bb? making it a greater error for him to call?
I like the idea ( although i never do it) of the 1/5 bet vs a lag but early indicator are he is a lap. Ill look for spots to try this.
The fish comment is misleading as although i suspected after just 4 hands. it was only confirmed post hand.
10-31-2015 , 02:25 PM
They can always find reasons to call if there is a draw they can convince themselves you're on - I would say Queens (not that I think he's got many) and 88-JJ call here as well as NFD. 7s, and any pair+OESD Making drawing hands fold out their equity in the pot is not a disaster anyway, and you're not getting money from the weakest hands.
11-01-2015 , 05:13 AM
Pre good

Flop, I don't mind the check.

Turn - your raise is too small. I probably jam.
11-01-2015 , 01:56 PM
Keep your lines consistent, play textures like you have anything in your pre repop range. {What do you do with TT on that flop? AQ? AKdd?}

Flop lead is indistinguishable from c-bet. 2/5-1/2, not a touch more.

If he limp-rai your oversize pre repop, he'll float a ton so you get value even from top set.

Check turn to induce riv lead from him, call that river, he's not always got the 6.

Last edited by Kristofero; 11-01-2015 at 01:57 PM. Reason: shuv dry rivs.
11-02-2015 , 08:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kristofero
Keep your lines consistent, play textures like you have anything in your pre repop range. {What do you do with TT on that flop? AQ? AKdd?}
If I didnt think he was a fish I would of c bet. im not concerend with having balanced ranges with this player if initial reads are correct for him. so i think it is fine to analyse this hand in isolation.
11-02-2015 , 09:01 AM
If you have a read that he's a fish, then I would be betting and re-raising every street if he leads out and for as much value as you can. V's such as this as you can see have a hard time laying down any kind of draw, pair etc. I know it's a dry board, but vs fish I would still value bet OTF as he might even think Ace high is good.
11-02-2015 , 12:00 PM
While his play in this hand looks fishy preflop, don't go over board with reads after 5 hands.
11-02-2015 , 12:47 PM
I do take your point.
I do believe i do this to some extent when i have a new table open and my other tables are more progressed.
In this example I had already labbeled him a fish. and i dont do this on vpip/pfr alone after just 5h so he would of had to made an action that made no sense like min rr a family pot. or limp fold to min rr. Unfortunately i dont know what this is as i was multi tabling 6 tables at the time, perhaps this means i should be playing 4 not 6. time will tell.
I presumed this guy was a fish i mean in the actual hand he limps then calls a rather massive raise from my self and also he has a 60 vpip. yes its 5 hands but its an early indicator he is a fish when taking into account his other actions.
11-02-2015 , 04:04 PM
In the HH he doesn't limp, he flats an UTG raise then calls your massive 3-bet. Which is also fishy play by him.
11-02-2015 , 10:43 PM
^ URagnatha.

      
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