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Chip and BB EV Graph Chip and BB EV Graph

05-15-2015 , 02:13 PM
Can I use these kind of graphs to know if I'm on a upswing or downswing, since PT3 doesn't have $EV?
05-15-2015 , 03:07 PM
that is the only thing u can use. $EV is never correct for MTT
05-15-2015 , 03:11 PM
Not really, depends on chip size and how deep you are. But I run under both ALL the time. I know people for over 500k tourney hands that run on a steady basis above(so not 1 big jump).

A better thing would be to give just % or other numbers that don't take BB or chips in calculation. Like today I am +6500 in ev chips and -10500 under. Doesn't say much. But i never played for more than 1700 chips. I have 8 hand in where I am atleast 73% favourite and lost all of them. But you can also just have 1 suckout and drop the same amount. So it is rather the amount of hands you got sucked out or unlucky than BB or chips ev. They should make a program that calculates this.

So on like 2m tourney hands I am definitely insanely under the amount of in which I am favorite and lost and never get it back by suck outs I accomplish. I mean like When I am 70% favorite, I think I am like 52% winning the hand. That's bad I know. People will say "you only remember the bad beats". No,because I can't count them and I only remember when I give someone a suck out.
But just give me a program that calculates these stats( which should be incredible easy for programmers) and we will see.
Also everybody who says it's rigged or rivers happen more could easily calculate this if you have database. Like when you are a 90-10% favorite, I get the feeling that this is more like 70-30 or worse. I got a large database, program stats are available and this calculation wouldn't be hard to make. So people who don't believe this could be easily shown that it is true, or people who do could see that they are within the statistically correct margin.

I never understood why this isn't available already. Would take a lot of discussion out of the world, and also people who don't believe you when you say you run incredible bad like you do (mostly bye people who run even).
05-15-2015 , 07:49 PM
Well, I'm running, in my view, very under ev this month, so that's why I'm asking if I could confirm that using these graphs.

Sometimes I think that the graph looks like it because I'm just getting it in in situations that I'm over 50% favourite, but passing away some situations that I'm under 50% but have the odds to call. Can this affirmation be right?

And, is there someone that runs insanely over ev?

Thanks for the replies.

      
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