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All-in decision on the bubble All-in decision on the bubble

04-14-2016 , 10:46 AM
1.50$, 90 player SNG.
14 players left, 13 places paid.

BB is aggressive, but he also makes some stupid calls.
He is 45/20 for about 100 hands. 3-bet about 10%.
Aggression frequency about 30% on flop, 35% on turn, 15% on river.


[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $1.35 Buy-in (125/250 blinds, 25 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 7 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37301965

Hero (BTN): 7,261 (29 bb)
SB: 3,927 (15.7 bb)
BB: 7,214 (28.9 bb)
MP1: 23,235 (92.9 bb)
MP2: 5,572 (22.3 bb)
MP3: 8,583 (34.3 bb)
CO: 8,359 (33.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 8 8
4 folds, Hero raises to 570, SB folds, BB calls 320

Flop: (1,440) 5 5 2 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 1,060, BB calls 1,060

Turn: (3,560) 5 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 1,000, BB raises to 5,559 and is all-in


What to do

Did he slowplay a higher pair. Or did he have a lower pair, an ace, or nothing at all.
04-14-2016 , 06:48 PM
doubt he just has a naked A here. since he is so aggro I think its a pretty trivial call and he'll have 2x, 33-44, 66-77 very often.
04-15-2016 , 09:33 AM
I'd call here.
04-15-2016 , 11:03 AM
Its the bet of 1/4 the bet on the turn with 3 5s on the board. At the 1.50 you pay this off and hope he doesn't have pocket pairs better then 88. And he will shove any Ax hand here. If you win you're in a great spot for the FT and if you lose. Well do you really care about a min cash ?

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04-15-2016 , 11:57 AM
As played I would call. His line doesnt make much sense.
Would bet less on the flop. Do we generally check turn here to pot control or is betting good for protection and targeting value against Ax and lower pps? Guess it generally gives us the option if a river check too in some cases.
04-17-2016 , 01:58 AM
Do you feel he is trappy with premium pairs?

If not then his line doesn't really make sense. I feel like TT+ would be raised preflop. The only hand I feel he has you beat with here are 9s and you beat everything else so a call here is good majority of the time.

      
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