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MTTSNG Discussion and analysis of MTTSNGs.

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Old 07-16-2012, 03:00 PM   #1
adept
 
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Toronto
Posts: 704
AK ITM facing a shove and a call

    Poker Stars, $13.77 Buy-in (400/800 blinds, 75 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 7 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #13536732

    MP2: 5,786 (7.2 bb)
    MP3: 7,421 (9.3 bb)
    CO: 22,613 (28.3 bb)
    BTN: 7,395 (9.2 bb)
    Hero (SB): 10,750 (13.4 bb)
    BB: 10,169 (12.7 bb)
    MP1: 8,524 (10.7 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with A K
    MP1 raises to 8,449 and is all-in, 3 folds, BTN calls 7,320 and is all-in




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    UTG is unknown, BTN is a tight reg likely only calling AQ,99+.
    Wiz says to call AK,TT+ in cEV, and only QQ+ in $EV.
    Here we are kind of in between because there are 12 ppl left. So easy call in mid stages of tournament and sigh fold at final table. But on the cusp of the final table...
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    Old 07-16-2012, 03:59 PM   #2
    adept
     
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    Join Date: Dec 2010
    Location: Melbourne
    Posts: 1,099
    Re: AK ITM facing a shove and a call

    Call. I wouldn't be too concerned with $EV with 12 remaining.

    I think the calling range you have given the reg (even a tight one), is too narrow.
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    Old 07-17-2012, 05:04 AM   #3
    centurion
     
    Join Date: Jun 2012
    Location: Varna, Bulgaria
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    Re: AK ITM facing a shove and a call

    Tough spot. Calling and winning would be great but it will not happen that often. I think you should look at $EV because cEV is useful when you are still far from the money. Approaching the bubble you need to account for the higher risk. Getting paid does not decreases the bubble factor down to 1.0 but remains slightly higher and you have to use only $EV for the bubble and ITM imo. Also, once the first bubble bursts and goes down close to 1.0 (but not equalt to 1.0) it starts increasing again aproaching the FT.

    All that said I would fold AKo although I am not sure I would be able to do this because I am not that good I want to be. Yet hopefully
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