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MTTSNG Discussion and analysis of MTTSNGs.

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Old 06-10-2012, 08:49 PM   #1
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AA on QQx board - 2.5$ 180 man FT

V is LAG playing 34/16.

[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $2.28 Buy-in (2,000/4,000 blinds, 400 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #13172241

BB: 95,270 (23.8 bb)
CO: 65,426 (16.4 bb)
Hero (BTN): 51,261 (12.8 bb)
SB: 58,043 (14.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with A A
CO folds, Hero raises to 8,000, SB folds, BB calls 4,000

Flop: (19,600) 9 Q Q (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: (19,600) 6 (2 players)
BB bets 12,000, Hero folds

I check the flop to induce a bluff on the turn.

However I fold due to his big bet and me not wanting to get my stack in on this board as he will likely barrel the river. I kinda find my line horrible now that I look back at it...

Is calling down to the river the most valuable line to take?

Thanks.
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Old 06-10-2012, 11:16 PM   #2
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Re: AA on QQx board - 2.5$ 180 man FT

Wow. Call turn/ call river. You're the short stack, anyway!
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Old 06-10-2012, 11:16 PM   #3
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Re: AA on QQx board - 2.5$ 180 man FT

If you're not betting the flop, call the turn at least.
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Old 06-11-2012, 04:11 AM   #4
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Re: AA on QQx board - 2.5$ 180 man FT

jesus man just get your last 10bb in on a paired board with the nut overpair against a maniac

call turn and call or even shove river IMO
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Old 06-11-2012, 05:05 AM   #5
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Re: AA on QQx board - 2.5$ 180 man FT

if you decide to check AA on a nut flop, you do it to always call the turn from a laggy Villain, turn call is a must. River really plays itself, he checks, you bet/shove, he prolly folds
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Old 06-12-2012, 04:57 AM   #6
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Re: AA on QQx board - 2.5$ 180 man FT

lol call turn and river. 12k aint that big -.-.
You fold where only really 99 66 and a queen beats you with 10BB left...
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Old 06-12-2012, 02:57 PM   #7
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Re: AA on QQx board - 2.5$ 180 man FT

Not sure if this is a level. 12bb I am not folding AA on any board. I am cbetting flop about 12k, which leaves you with 32k, pot is 44k if called and easy turn shove.

If you are raised all in after the 12k cbet, you have to call 30k to win over 100k pot. Never folding this, villain has so many worse hand....
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Old 06-13-2012, 10:07 AM   #8
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Re: AA on QQx board - 2.5$ 180 man FT

I like this fold.
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Old 06-13-2012, 10:41 AM   #9
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Re: AA on QQx board - 2.5$ 180 man FT

Doesn't matter how the money gets in, but this is never a fold with a 12 bb stack.
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Old 06-13-2012, 03:58 PM   #10
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Re: AA on QQx board - 2.5$ 180 man FT

Quote:
Originally Posted by tomsom87 View Post
I like this fold.
Villain identified ITT
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Old 06-13-2012, 04:36 PM   #11
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Re: AA on QQx board - 2.5$ 180 man FT

Wow, did u really fold?
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Old 06-13-2012, 07:02 PM   #12
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Re: AA on QQx board - 2.5$ 180 man FT

ahahaahahhahahhaahha omg
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Old 06-13-2012, 07:11 PM   #13
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Re: AA on QQx board - 2.5$ 180 man FT

wauw, just wauw.
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Old 06-14-2012, 08:29 AM   #14
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Re: AA on QQx board - 2.5$ 180 man FT

LOL!!!
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Old 06-14-2012, 10:04 PM   #15
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Re: AA on QQx board - 2.5$ 180 man FT

For all we know, this could be a complete genius fold. It's very unlikely, yes, but statistically you were a 79.255% favourite to win the hand on the turn.

Flop: I like betting ~8000-9000 here, especially after he checks.

Turn: As played, just call and be prepared to call down a river bet or bet against a check.
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