$5 - Jh9h on 9cQh4s5h - do we have to fold? - MTT Poker Strategy

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$5 - Jh9h on 9cQh4s5h - do we have to fold?

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12-31-2016 , 08:12 PM

LektorAJ

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 7,826

$5 Holdem Turbo - On Demand
LJ (3349).
HJ (3260).
Hero (CO) (1869).
BTN (1135).
SB (2076).
BB (1032).
All ante (10) Blinds (40) / (80)

*** Preflop (180) ***
Hero received cards: J

LJ folds, HJ folds, Hero raises (160), BTN folds, SB calls (120), BB calls (80)

*** Flop (540) ***
9

SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks

*** Turn (540) ***
9

SB bets (360), BB allin (862), Hero ????

We are in the late reg period so we are far from the money. This one eventually paid 7 players so it's MTTSNG style. Do we just toss this? We don't quite seem to have odds.

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01-02-2017 , 05:03 AM

wanderer_pro

journeyman

Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 290

I think its close but a fold. If there were 2 flushdraws we could call it off imo. BB will still have some worst hands like oesd and fd but its all we beat. SB range is Qx heavy also, and he would play Qx this way for sure.

On the side note, i don't mind cbeting this with 30-40% sizing and getting free river. Its plenty of hands like gutshots that we can get value from, also we set a price otf and can check back with picked up equity ott a lot. I dont like cbeting it the board was a bit less coordinated and we flopped 2nd pair.

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01-02-2017 , 07:38 AM

bardaks86

centurion

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 145

easy fold imo,idk how SB plays pre 44,55,99,QQ+,KQ,AQ,QTs+ but i think overall hes super strong here,at least Qx (possible range: QQ+,99,55-44,AQs,KQs,QTs+,AQo,KQo because of blockers to FDs only hand might beat is A4hh),BB is full of Qx hands,2pairs,because of good price i believe he dont fold pre 95s,45s,Q5s etc.
if we could close turn action with just call and see river (prob close to call),but SB is behind. we should fold this one,not worth it

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