Originally Posted by LastDamnation
can you actually give some reasoning? Like what ranges are you putting him on he c/shoves to call, and that we fold to this river bet?
2nd pair good kicker is pretty strong on this texture vs his stacksize. ppl mostly flat SCs/broadways/small pairs in this spot. most of these hands dont beat 2nd pair good kicker.
furtheremore you are percieved to be very wide here in this spot and since you only make pairs ~25% of the time and draws ~15% of the time you will have nothing ~60% of the time. also some draws you cant call off with and some pairs you make will be too bad too call a jam with. overall he has tons of FE with worse made hands and draws.
you dont beat a single value hand OTR.
cause your range looks like a passively played draw and alot of draws get there and he bets into you.