4.50 180 overpair facing heat - MTTSNG -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

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4.50 180 overpair facing heat

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08-17-2011 , 05:11 AM

bubbleking

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 449

This was a bit of a meh spot early in a 180 man. Iv stats on villain because hes a reg running at 12/7. whats your line when raised?

No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 10/20 Blinds (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG+1 (t1300)
MP1 (t1270)
MP2 (t1790)
MP3 (t1440)
Hero (CO) (t1440)
Button (t2310)
SB (t1770)
BB (t1520)
UTG (t660)

Hero's M: 48.00

Preflop: Hero is CO with J

, J

5 folds, Hero bets t60, Button calls t60, 1 fold, BB calls t40

Flop: (t190) 10

, 4

, 6

(3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t120, 1 fold, BB raises t550

Last edited by bubbleking; 08-17-2011 at 05:20 AM.

08-17-2011 , 05:17 AM

furo

deviation of equilibrium

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 29,639

there are regs running 22/7? what is the samplesize?

he seems to play tons of hands so if he is a reg and you have a decent enough samplesize you should have reads on his flop aggression/overall aggression and how he would play a draw or Tx in a spot like this.

readless i'm notfolding in this spot ever. seems like a good investment for $4 vs a goofy raise.

08-17-2011 , 05:20 AM

bubbleking

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 449

Quote:

Originally Posted by furo

sorry furo that's my bad on the typo its 12/7 i'll edit original post now

08-17-2011 , 05:25 AM

furo

deviation of equilibrium

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 29,639

still, you should have reads on his postflop play if the samplesize is big enough and if not it costs you about $4.50 to find out what the oversized bet means.

08-17-2011 , 05:27 AM

bubbleking

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 449

Quote:

Originally Posted by furo

still, you should have reads on his postflop play if the samplesize is big enough and if not it costs you about $4.50 to find out what the oversized bet means.

600 hands. No reads in so far as its the first time iv seen him make a massive raise early in a tourney on a monotone flop

08-17-2011 , 05:46 AM

furo

deviation of equilibrium

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 29,639

ok 12/7 in 600 hands is a pure nit... just fold. its safe to asume that he will play draws passively and not play Tx like a ******. Tx is not a big part of his range anyway)

08-17-2011 , 05:57 AM

marw842

newbie

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 23

Quote:

Originally Posted by furo

if not it costs you about $4.50 to find out what the oversized bet means.

anyway, imo its set/draw... maybe im too nitty but i would probably fold.

08-17-2011 , 09:32 AM

bubbleking

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 449

yeah fwiw I folded - just stuck out in the back of my mind

08-17-2011 , 10:25 AM

DzonisJ

enthusiast

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 63

Yeah, it's definetely a fold, cause he's raising so big and tries to defend his hand it might be set, even made flush. Just fold.

08-18-2011 , 12:59 AM

#10

Camzace

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 1,351

Prob folding JcJx here

08-18-2011 , 08:45 PM

#11

Glitlr

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 4,682

If it helps...

If you are facing heat, you are beat.

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