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MTTSNG Discussion and analysis of MTTSNGs.

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Old 09-03-2012, 05:20 PM   #1
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3$r ft, straight facing allin on river

in retrospective... i dont think people bluff here very often... what do you think? how often is a random bluffing here?

villain was 22/4 after 25 hands.

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $6,000(BB) Replayer
SB ($84,852)
BB ($136,598)
UTG ($78,961)
Hero ($152,852)
UTG+2 ($149,174)
CO ($189,715)
BTN ($87,848)

Dealt to Hero 4 6

fold, Hero raises to $12,600, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $6,600

FLOP ($32,400) 3 8 T

BB checks, Hero bets $12,400, BB calls $12,400

TURN ($57,200) 3 8 T 9

BB checks, Hero bets $21,000, BB calls $21,000

RIVER ($99,200) 3 8 T 9 7

BB bets $89,998 (AI),

Spoiler:
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Old 09-03-2012, 06:07 PM   #2
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Re: 3$r ft, straight facing allin on river

Im folding pre as I hate playing that sort of hand post flop.

As played giving up on turn.
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Old 09-04-2012, 03:48 AM   #3
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Re: 3$r ft, straight facing allin on river

Fold pre.

Check the turn, fold river.
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Old 09-04-2012, 10:31 AM   #4
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Re: 3$r ft, straight facing allin on river

if you are playing this hand, you need to play all better hands, so you would be ending up playing about 80% of hands from this position. i doubt you would be profitable.

then you decide to double barrel one of the worst cards to do so, it doesn't scare villain with alot of his holdings but improves a decent chunk of his range (see his actual hand for example)

preflop and turn are the streets you should really be worried about. as played yeah, he almost inevitably has SD value, so you need reads to assume he has a bluffing range here. he is also obv never donkshoving worse for value.
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