9 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop:(pot: 2.63 BB)Hero has 2 2
fold, Hero raises to 7.92 BB and is all-in, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 6.92 BB
Flop:(17.46 BB, 2 players) 2 A 8
Turn:(17.46 BB, 2 players) 5
River:(17.46 BB, 2 players) 6
Spoiler:
BB shows K A (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 47%, Flop 2%, Turn 0%) Hero shows 2 2 (Three of a Kind, Twos)
(Pre 53%, Flop 98%, Turn 100%) Hero wins 17.46 BB
Shove due to tight image 7/5/0 after 45 hands. Although may be I adjust to much as this isn't how my stats will appear to 3 left to act as my stats are almost certainly going to look more normal to these due to prior history.
Probably too loose but it can't be far wrong. If there are bubble considerations, then this is a bigger mistake.
Bubble isn't imminent. The point of post I was trying to convey is ' Is my own stats/recent play justification to deviate from GTO. Regs to act will almost certainly have huds so will perceive me differently then my current stats allow. But recent sample will function in their opinions as no sample sizes are overly large. ( I am generally taggy) I have no idea what stats they have for me and therefore have to make a qualitative judgement of my deviation from GTO. Did I deviate to much? I can only evaluate this as a matter of judgement. Are there any rule of thumb to use in making such judgements.
Did I just use my own stats to justify a looser frustration play born from being card dead?
Clear shove even with 10bbs. Should be in the chip ev nash range anyway ? Usually we can shove wider than nash as the calling ranges are not accurate, especially in the sb and bb where it has them calling much wider than they would be.
Just going off the default ranges is a huge leak imo. I believe it should only be used as a starting point. Adjusting the calling ranges especially in the blinds is very important.
The population calls will call significantly tighter especially at the lower stakes.
U can make different population tendencies in pt4 . eg how often the bb calls a 10bb shove from the button, co , Hj etc.
It can be very time consuming and you need a fairly big hand sample but will give u a general idea of how different the calling ranges are compared to nash.