OP, Calling here is bad equity wise against a 14% 3bet range even if he was playing wide
MP2 55.81% 55.57% 0.24% 77+, A7s+, K9s+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KJo+, QJo
BU 44.19% 43.95% 0.24% 66
Quote:
Originally Posted by emitnulB
88+, AJ+, ATs+ probably.
I'd definitely call with more hands if I had a read on this guy, but he's probably not just shoving random hands here and he likely has a capped range. You might be able to throw in a few more Ax and Kx hands, but most guys are just really strong, but not nutted here and unsure how to get value from their strong hand (aka they're bad).
I would say close to this quoted range but I'm more inclined of TT+, AJs+ AQo+ with 25eff bb stacks. You're in a turbo so yes, waiting for these premiums don't come often but the difference between 1st and 2nd is massive so you're not here to call
with emitnulB's range of 7.09% which is 50% of the 14.7%, you have:
58.71% equity
with a tighter range of what I said which is 4.98% which is about 30% of villain's range, we have 62.75% equity
if this was 3 handed, the 2 ranges listed above would mean a lot more for ICM purposes but since ICM is not used for HU, why take a flip even stacked with a marginal hand? Think about it, he has to be shoving A5s and small or 5s and smaller. That's actually a really small range of hands that you are massively dominating considering the small amount of combinations to make a PP. You're only slightly ahead here against overcards.
but what my actual point is going to be, you're heads up, you have tons of opportunity to outplay your opponent (unless you're going against a 3r pro).