Preflop: Hero is BB with J A
UTG+2 folds, MP1 raises to 2,381 and is all-in, MP2 folds, MP3 raises to 3,957 and is all-in, 3 folds, Hero calls 3,657
Flop: (10,645) T 3 J (3 players, 2 are all-in) Turn: (10,645) J (3 players, 2 are all-in) River: (10,645) K (3 players, 2 are all-in)
Spoiler:
Results: 10,645 pot
Final Board: T 3 J J K
Hero showed J A and lost (-3,982 net)
MP1 showed 2 2 and lost (-2,406 net)
MP3 showed T T and won 10,645 (6,663 net)
At the time I looked up UTG+1's shoving range, and used that to base my reasoning on - I'm epically ahead of most of it. MP1 is claiming to be ahead of it too, but his shove looks like a standard isolation shove.
UTG has 8bb, MP1 has 13bb, and there is a little over 2bb on the table. I have 15bb and it's going to cost me 13bb to potentially win 26bb - I'm being paid even money for what I believe is a 1:3 shot at the pot, so I make the call.
In hindsight I suspect my reasoning is great, if I have a huge stack. On account of my limited stack it could be polite described as high-variance (or perhaps more honestly described as insane :P)
Is my reasoning sound? Or totally bats**t crazy? And, if this would be a reasonable move with a deep-stack, how deep does the stack need to be?
He shouldn't really flat anything and give a tactical choice and/or reads to later players. He likes his hand despite the early position shove and number of players to act. Imho you were lucky to have two live cards this time.
I fold here for reasons mentioned before.
Villains are usually not even close to as wide as NASH. Based on experience (albeit it being limited) people show up with better hands a lot.
Fold, your never ahead here with two people shoving, odds are you are dominated by AK, AQ here and then if not theres very high likelihood of a pocket pair which your behind against slightly anyway, so unless you have them as shoving super wide then fold.
besides, on a 3 way all in, it´s very common for someone to be blocking your Ace outs reducing even more your chances against any pair. So, you´re either dominated or blocked. You would have to rely on hitting a flush. I would have folded