So you're saying you're able to calculate your edge in a way that makes 22 a fold in that spot? You either overrate your edge or are just misreading the hand here. +cev lines, being a shove or a call, are never a flip. A flip is neutral ev.
You are over estimating a regs range here. 66+ KQ+ is a good solid range here. lets see you beat 66, everything else you are a dog to or a flip. If you enjoy variance call....
66+ KQ+ is a godawful range here. No good reg should ever be this tight. I would be amazed if a reg is not at least jamming 22+, suited broadways and suited aces in this spot. If he isn't then that's his leak really. I'm not advising anyone to even call light in the spot. 77 is just a really good hand here. I don't understand at all the reasoning for folding. I fail to realise how variance should affect any decision we make, ever, in 180s. One of us is just dead wrong.
so in reality people should push 20%+ in this spot since almost nobody calls as wide as he should according to Nash. But as we can see in this thread many regs shove way tighter so I would personally fold the 77 without knowing more about the specific reg.
66+ KQ+ is a godawful range here. No good reg should ever be this tight. I would be amazed if a reg is not at least jamming 22+, suited broadways and suited aces in this spot. If he isn't then that's his leak really.