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 180 MAN  180 MAN

05-01-2015 , 08:00 PM
PokerStars Hand #134629798890: Tournament #1218116156, $13.77+$1.23 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XV (1000/2000) - 2015/05/02 0:45:39 WET [2015/05/01 19:45:39 ET]
Table '1218116156 11' 9-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: (33272 in chips)
Seat 4: (31844 in chips)
HERO (35968 in chips)
Seat 6: (19476 in chips)
Seat 7: (27569 in chips)
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero[7h Ah]
fold
fold
fold
Burro1011: raises 29644 to 31644 and is all-in

Hero????????????????????????????????

We are currently 3/10
The only other hand Villian has had to show down was QQ.
He has being opening most pots in late position usual standard enough stuff.

Is this even as close as I am thinking to either decision?
05-02-2015 , 01:20 AM
would be a snap call for me.. wouldn't imagine his range being very tight in this spot
05-02-2015 , 05:58 AM
I guess I should mention he has twice previous to this folded the sb into me.
I am sure this is a snap in a lot of spots but given the point in the tourny and our stack relevant to others f/t bubble all factors included I think it gets a lot closer.
I have not done the Icm/sums yet.. I was more interested in real life opinions first
05-02-2015 , 11:40 PM
i like calling here because i dont see much ( if any ) stronger aces in his range that he would shove like this... i mean his shoving range should be smt like 22-55,broadways,78s
+,weaker aces = snap call, think that folding A7s here is very bad
05-04-2015 , 10:00 AM
I don't play this high but I imagine if players at this level knew you were folding A7s then they would push 100% against you.

The two folds are interesting but if he's playing very tight (= badly) from the small blind it should be supported by other evidence of bad play/exploitable play in general, otherwise it's just two datapoints that don't mean much - he could easily just have got bad hands twice.
05-04-2015 , 01:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LektorAJ
I don't play this high but I imagine if players at this level knew you were folding A7s then they would push 100% against you.

The two folds are interesting but if he's playing very tight (= badly) from the small blind it should be supported by other evidence of bad play/exploitable play in general, otherwise it's just two datapoints that don't mean much - he could easily just have got bad hands twice.
I never said i folded?
If he is folding some hands he is not shoving all hands... so what is he shoving? I don't see where we ever have him "crushed" enough, so....
Do we need to flip at this point of these given the top heavy payout in them? given we have a stack. If the relative stack size is halfed it's a no brainer.
05-04-2015 , 07:29 PM
It's a call but it looks close from an ICM point of view. Assuming some stacks for the players at the other tables you should call 16.1%, 66+ A5s+ A8o+ K9s+ KTo+ if he's pushing 72%.

If he's pushing tighter than that which seems likely there is an argument for folding.

HoldemResources Nash Results
05-07-2015 , 04:51 PM
I don't think a fold is terrible, but you asked "so what is he shoving?" Well, you said he's opening "most pots", so he prob shoving quite a bit. Obv not 100%, but A7s is doing pretty well vs his range, assuming he is shoving at least 50%. If you think he's shoving closer to 40% then I could see a fold.

      
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