1,5 $ 45 man decision postflop - MTTSNG -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

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1,5 $ 45 man decision postflop

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10-13-2015 , 10:08 AM

lilantas

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2014 Posts: 679

hi guys do you think about my line pre and postflop? villain has got vpip=35 pfr=21 3bet=10,5

Poker Stars, $1.36 Buy-in (500/1,000 blinds, 60 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 3 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37153888

Hero (BTN): 30,426 (30.4 bb)
SB: 13,085 (13.1 bb)
BB: 23,989 (24 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with K

Hero raises to 2,122, SB calls 1,622, BB folds

Flop: (5,424) T

(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets 2,440, SB raises to 10,903 and is all-in, Hero calls 8,463

Turn: (27,230) 9

(2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (27,230) 2

(2 players, 1 is all-in)

Spoiler:

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10-13-2015 , 10:33 AM

SLOUMA28

enthusiast

Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 91

With top 2 you want to put the money HU on the flop (even if you behind still have redraw out)
Don't see why folding it on the flop

10-13-2015 , 11:44 AM

TDB

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2015 Posts: 92

Standard

10-14-2015 , 10:15 AM

lilantas

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2014 Posts: 679

thanks guys

10-14-2015 , 05:41 PM

Kristofero

banned

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 1,317

Looks good.

Bit more on flop.

Neither folding, you win more races. Yey, next one.

10-15-2015 , 03:28 PM

LektorAJ

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 7,826

The redraw is probably about 16 percent, but I think you are ahead often enough that call is fine. If he actually had a strong made flush then he might well just call and let you keep putting the money in, he shouldn't have called pre with baby hearts but who knows with some of these player. Anyway, I think this is fine.

10-15-2015 , 04:30 PM

LektorAJ

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 7,826

To get in an SPR of 2 you need to bet 62% of pot twice so the 4/9 pot flop bet is small. If you hadn't been raised you would find yourself needing to bet somewhere like 80% of pot on the turn and then folding out draws you would like to get all in against.

BTW what sample are those stats over? If it is big enough to make that 3-bet stat reliable then it inclines me more towards calling this postflop raise.

10-15-2015 , 04:31 PM

Kristofero

banned

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 1,317

LektorAJ,

It's 3-handed. The skew toward a range including bare hearts given Villain sees you lead a mono flop...

?

10-22-2015 , 07:05 AM

PreShove

enthusiast

Join Date: Aug 2014 Posts: 53

You played it fine. I would've made the flop bet bigger though.

10-22-2015 , 02:11 PM

#10

LektorAJ

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 7,826

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kristofero

LektorAJ,

It's 3-handed. The skew toward a range including bare hearts given Villain sees you lead a mono flop...

?

I don't understand what you mean here? You mean Villain is likely to have 1 heart or 2?

Or are you talking about what we are repping?

10-22-2015 , 06:16 PM

#11

Kristofero

banned

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 1,317

What is Villain shoving 3handed v you on flop?

This hand is fine given stack sizes, but if Villain is the one with 30k to your 13k, assume you don't shove that 13k pre with KTs, what are you doing on flop?

You need to not see individual hands in a vacuum, but how many players are at the table, the fact that they will be competent even if you're a winner.

The reason you might be a winner isn't that you're better than them, but that in a pool of 45 players, all grinders do at the end is carve up the dead money in the pool.

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