0,50 180Turbo 28 Left, 66 on BB - MTTSNG -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

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0,50 180Turbo 28 Left, 66 on BB

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02-03-2016 , 05:24 PM

DStruan

enthusiast

Join Date: Dec 2015 Posts: 98

50 hands on Villain he was 18/10/7 L 14

Do we fold here becouse of the bubble or take this spot ?
UTG limps here def can be trapping

Id like to know what you think

Poker Stars, $0.45 Buy-in (300/600 blinds, 50 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37237465

SB: 8,266 (13.8 bb)
Hero (BB): 4,670 (7.8 bb)
UTG+2: 6,550 (10.9 bb)
MP1: 9,742 (16.2 bb)
MP2: 3,200 (5.3 bb)
MP3: 5,130 (8.6 bb)
CO: 13,237 (22.1 bb)
BTN: 3,513 (5.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 6

UTG+2 calls 600, 6 folds, Hero raises to 4,620 and is all-in, UTG+2 calls 4,020

Flop: (9,940) 4

(2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: (9,940) 5

(2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (9,940) J

(2 players, 1 is all-in)

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02-03-2016 , 05:54 PM

Theodorus20

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2015 Posts: 304

Nash equilibrium sais it's a -0.54$ push. (ICMizer).
On his 18% range, it's a +0.04$ move, but i would not consider this fact myself.
I'd fold here because of the bubble, yes.

02-04-2016 , 06:32 AM

ChipsNcrisps

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2015 Posts: 4,946

Very close IMO.
Without the limp, snap shove obv.

Yh, I think bubble advises a fold, but shoving is by no means horrible, just high variance.

02-04-2016 , 08:43 AM

lilantas

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2014 Posts: 679

i will fold too because of the bubble gg

02-04-2016 , 08:52 AM

Anyway

adept

Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 888

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChipsNcrisps

Yh, I think bubble advises a fold, but shoving is by no means horrible, just high variance.

This

02-05-2016 , 02:27 PM

Uhrenknecht

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 3,896

I think the bubble in 180mans is perceived way more pricey than it really is by recreationals. Take a shot at the dead money often but if someone limps UTG with 28 left, it's not that good as through any other spot in the game before, even the recs tighten up a lot at this spot. 66 is pretty borderline here, wouldn't be unusual if he snaps 66/AT (if he's not that ICM wise but thinks it's a good hand to trap) or usually 88/AQ+ here often.

18/10 is pretty tight so far and you can be almost sure, that his limping UTG range and his raising range are a lot closer right now than ever.

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