Quote:
Originally Posted by Josem
This is the same problem that I had - in the article by the "Wizard of Odds" he quoted a very high number of standard deviations to a particular number, and I just used that to broadly estimate the relevant chances.
I had fun with some numbers:
The chance of a particular sample falling outside 15 standard deviations is about 7.3e-15. Meaning 0.00000000000000073. This is a very small number.
Some similar numbers:
chance of being dealt AA 6 times in a row: 8.3e-15
chance of being dealt a pocket pair 13 times in a row: 1e-16
chance of making your next 31 flushdraws (when flopping a flush draw) by the river: 4.7e-15
chance of flopping quads on your next 6 pairs: 2.2e-16
NioNio seems very lucky imo.