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Tennis bet vs Patrik Tennis bet vs Patrik

01-20-2011 , 01:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NLnewb
I can't believe people think the better player is a complete lock. The rating system is so subjective it doesn't mean anything. I still love to watch tennis at the club when the 5.0 USTA comes around. which is crazy because I played some of them when we were 15 and they were 5.5+ 15 years ago. If these guys are 5.0 I'm a 3.0 and IMO I think I"d soundly beat 90% of players at the club without having picked up a racket in ages.

I had a friend who played NAIA which is a div. nobody has heard of but he had such a huge and volatile game he could lose to 5.5er but he also could beat top guys at a Div 1 school.

Showing my age I've watched Goran Ivanisevic play back in the 90's. Guy could beat just about anybody in the world and he could also lose to 200+ player 6-2 6-2 and he had the 2nd best serve in tennis behind Pete. Same with a Mark Philipoussis type guys. These guys were top 10 or 25 year in and out and they lost to plenty of far lesser players. A 5.5er has still many holes that a lesser 5.0 player with the right scouting report could handily still win.
The points system 5.0 vs a 5.5 is really subjective. To be honest I am not even sure where they get the rating system or how someone goes about getting a rating. The original debate wasn't a 4.5 vs a 5.0, it was BA vs PA and imo BA is drawing dead. As far as the references to how bad Ivanisevic or Philipoussis were once you get past their serves is WAY overstated. Kinda like Kournikova being a joke on the court, that wasn't the case at all. She was damn good but happened to betting looking than she was in tennis and therefore got criticized for how bad her tennis was. She did underachieve possibly, but she still had a great tennis career.
01-20-2011 , 01:11 PM
Not to further derail, but amazing article on different skill levels in pro tennis (granted a little dated now, but a great read):

http://www.esquire.com/features/spor...ng-theory-0796
01-20-2011 , 01:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Andykay
Wish I had more to contribute.

I ****ing love tennis! and this thread
01-20-2011 , 02:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by alwaysdegen
Patricks sparring partner is prolly Robin Soderling ( adecent swedish player ranked 4th in the world) or some other top pro that live in Monte Carlo, this will be a walk in the park for Patrick.
lol...you are joking right?
01-20-2011 , 02:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by p-shootah
lol...you are joking right?
Dude i know more about tennis than 99% in this thread, and im also 99% sure Patrick is gonna win this match.
01-20-2011 , 02:15 PM
Funny to see people put up some rakning systems lol, esp people who know nothing about tennis, this isnt poker folks. If Patrick dies prematch then BA gonna win and thats his only chance. A REALLY good day BA will win 3games in a set.
01-20-2011 , 02:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by alwaysdegen
Dude i know more about tennis than 99% in this thread, and im also 99% sure Patrick is gonna win this match.
we can play if youd like....i will start you off 1-0 and you can serve first or GTFO
01-20-2011 , 02:20 PM
Patrik played some college tennis in the US and was reportedly a top junior in Finland. He often works out twice a day. I was a fairly terrible junior tennis player, never breaking the top 50 in Florida in my age division and rarely breaking the top 100 (never finished the year in the top 100). I didn't play college tennis, and it's likely that my body fat percentage is above 20 percent.

You people are so stupid, and im pretty sure Patrick can play with some of swedish tennis pro friends who residence in Monte Carlo. Im also sure that BA doesnt have that connection net to play vs worldclass players.
01-20-2011 , 02:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by p-shootah
we can play if youd like....i will start you off 1-0 and you can serve first or GTFO
Im in im actually going to Vegas this summer.But im pretty sure your the standard talk to much- back out american, experinced it too much unfortunately.
01-20-2011 , 02:23 PM
yeah thats fine.....I'm not trying to get into a pissing match but there is zero chance that someone 4 in the world is wasting their time "sparring" with Patrik. absolutely zero. That's all I'm saying
01-20-2011 , 02:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by alwaysdegen
Im in im actually going to Vegas this summer.
ok cool. obviously we need some type of wager. 5k? we can be the opening act and play right before Patrik and Brandon. This can be a whole 2 + 2 circus act.
01-20-2011 , 02:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by p-shootah
ok cool. obviously we need some type of wager. 5k? we can be the opening act and play right before Patrik and Brandon. This can be a whole 2 + 2 circus act.
Ok you gonna play Robin Soderling.
01-20-2011 , 02:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by alwaysdegen
Ok you gonna play Robin Soderling.
WTF are you talking about?
01-20-2011 , 02:32 PM
Grow up kids! (p- shottah and alwaysdegen)
Sorry BA, there is no way you gonna win this over 3set.

Last edited by mightyswede; 01-20-2011 at 02:38 PM.
01-20-2011 , 02:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by alwaysdegen
Im in im actually going to Vegas this summer.But im pretty sure your the standard talk to much- back out american, experinced it too much unfortunately.
we both escrow... I will not back out. I have 0 singles ATP points, never have had even 1. I just like to gamble I am honestly probably giving you too much of a spot but like I said I wont back out and it looks like you are. If you are serious about this, we escrow 5k otherwise please stop talking.
01-20-2011 , 02:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by p-shootah
we both escrow... I will not back out. I have 0 singles ATP points, never have had even 1. I just like to gamble I am honestly probably giving you too much of a spot but like I said I wont back out and it looks like you are. If you are serious about this, we escrow 5k otherwise please stop talking.
Please stop derailing an interesting thread with nonsense. That match between you guys will never happen. Put your penis measuring somewhere else!
01-20-2011 , 02:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DcifrThs
tennis is like pool in some respects. he has to be giving you points and games or both or something. increasing the odds on an even money match does nothing. he could give you 100:1 and it basically doesn't matter if he's really that much better than you.

the only hope in these types of bets is that the better player chokes from the $ at stake. clearly not gunna happen w/ PA.

there's such a huge skill differential (based on your description) that unless he gets injured or chokes or something, you simply will not win this bet.

things to make this more fair:

- he gives n points/game and/or x games/set
- he gives you doubles alleys and gets 1 serve instead of 2
- he plays x% of games lefty

prob lots of others but those are some standard ones.
Agree with everything in this post.

11 to 1 would be a fair deal if you played only 1 set, but over 3sets, dont think so.
01-20-2011 , 03:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by p-shootah
we both escrow... I will not back out. I have 0 singles ATP points, never have had even 1. I just like to gamble I am honestly probably giving you too much of a spot but like I said I wont back out and it looks like you are. If you are serious about this, we escrow 5k otherwise please stop talking.
Quote:
Originally Posted by mightyswede
Please stop derailing an interesting thread with nonsense. That match between you guys will never happen. Put your penis measuring somewhere else!
no plz don't i love it when stuff like this happens and some pseudo expert has to taste it.
01-20-2011 , 03:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jsnipes28
no plz don't i love it when stuff like this happens and some pseudo expert has to taste it.
So your indicating that p-shootah isnt Roger Federer ? What a disappointment, i thought so when reading this thread.
01-20-2011 , 03:48 PM
without getting involved in the specifics of BA vs PA...I've been a tennis coach for almost 10 years and have seen a wide range of skill sets match up against each other, and the country club I work at has hosted a ton of charity matches, high level jnr tourneys etc (and also has some former davis cup players hitting often, that I get to hit with semi regularly)...

one of the neat things about tennis is all the ways you can handicap a match. I am a very consistent player in very good shape physically (cardio especially) and when I play against my old coach (a former nationally ranked player with a rock solid game), the two biggest handicaps (at least in terms of what's helped me) have been 3 serves (you can NOT underestimate the benefit of being able to go for 2 bombs, especially if you have an above average serve) and the doubles alley. I would take one of those two handicaps over getting a Break as a spot, etc.
01-20-2011 , 03:56 PM
where is this huge skill difference? I looked at PA's record and although he is a god in practically everyway. Tennis doesn't seem to be one of them. He seems like a like a run of the mill D3 player, which is good but not something an ex Florida top 100? junior is going to have zero chance of beating. But I've lost a bunch betting on tennis so although I think I understand the game, my handicapping isn't very good. But my buddies tell me don't bet on tennis, especially at the challenger and smaller events.
01-20-2011 , 04:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NLnewb
where is this huge skill difference? I looked at PA's record and although he is a god in practically everyway. Tennis doesn't seem to be one of them. He seems like a like a run of the mill D3 player, which is good but not something an ex Florida top 100? junior is going to have zero chance of beating. But I've lost a bunch betting on tennis so although I think I understand the game, my handicapping isn't very good. But my buddies tell me don't bet on tennis, especially at the challenger and smaller events.
i am pretty sure everybody (at least i have been) going by:

1. PA = 5.5
2. PA = in shape, works out 2x/day
3. BA = 20% body fat
4. BA = 4.5-5

if that's the case, 11-1 probably isn't enough especially w/o any concessions in terms of doubles alleys, serves, points/game, games/set etc.

that said, PA's record does look like he's a bit below 5.5 (wouldn't be #1 singles on any legit US D3 team) and would almost certainly get his ass whooped by my roomate who is a legit 5.5+ (couldn't make D1, undefeated though in match play all through college for a decent D3 college team as #1 singles).

so 1-4 may not be entirely accurate.

it's also, as has been noted, VERY hard to draw any hard conclusions w/o having seen both of these guys play in their current state.
01-20-2011 , 04:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by losesoonerthanlate
So your indicating that p-shootah isnt Roger Federer ? What a disappointment, i thought so when reading this thread.
Not 1 place in this thread where I said I was even good at tennis.
01-20-2011 , 04:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by p-shootah
you have 0 chance. let me take your place plz
At least your indicating it in 50% of your posts.
01-20-2011 , 04:57 PM
if patrik gave me 11:1 odds, sure, I would play

      
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