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Old 03-17-2010, 03:43 PM   #751
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Re: Stoxtrader cheating/multi accounting discussion

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Originally Posted by tdomeski View Post
kurosh, we get it, you had first hand knowledge of how to cheat and were more knowledgable about it and told us so.
fyp
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Old 03-17-2010, 03:47 PM   #752
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Re: Stoxtrader cheating/multi accounting discussion

Regarding the "who cares if stox played on party" line of posts--

If he was playing on "AutoCallON" then we have evidence that he has told an outright lie since this scandal began. I think that is important.
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Old 03-17-2010, 03:50 PM   #753
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Re: Stoxtrader cheating/multi accounting discussion

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ace,
The word you're looking for is softplaying and you're completely wrong that it's not beneficial. You are right that if people share bankrolls, there's no point to softplaying, but sharing bankrolls (which is also of course hugely unethical) requires a huge amount of trust that softplaying does not.

For example, say I'm shortstacking a cash game and my buddy is to my left and we've agreed to softplay. If button opens, I'm SB, and my buddy is BB, I can now profitably ship a wider range than I could if I had to worry about my buddy overcalling. That translates directly into more money for me and less money for my opponents.
The only thing is your buddy in the BB loses EV (to both you and to the enemy) by folding hands he should be overcalling, so I don't really think this is an effective colluding strategy.
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Old 03-17-2010, 03:50 PM   #754
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Re: Stoxtrader cheating/multi accounting discussion

Parlay,
What's the outright lie?

Regardless, it'd be nice to know if the AutoCallOn thing is true because it would lend credence (or not) to boywonder's source.

Last edited by NoahSD; 03-17-2010 at 03:51 PM. Reason: Editted out that last part cause I misunderstood something.
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Old 03-17-2010, 03:56 PM   #755
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Re: Stoxtrader cheating/multi accounting discussion

I'm pretty sure there are alot more Americans playing on euro sites than people realize using proxy servers or whatever.
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Old 03-17-2010, 03:57 PM   #756
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Re: Stoxtrader cheating/multi accounting discussion

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I'm pretty sure there are alot more Americans playing on euro sites than people realize using proxy servers or whatever.
That doesn't matter, it's still shady and scummy.
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Old 03-17-2010, 03:58 PM   #757
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Re: Stoxtrader cheating/multi accounting discussion

yeah im pretty sure plenty of partypoker players would care that US players are playing on their site w/out their knowledge, even if we boorish americans don't give a ****. quite a double standard.
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Old 03-17-2010, 04:07 PM   #758
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Re: Stoxtrader cheating/multi accounting discussion

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That doesn't matter, it's still shady and scummy.
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Originally Posted by tubasteve View Post
yeah im pretty sure plenty of partypoker players would care that US players are playing on their site w/out their knowledge, even if we boorish americans don't give a ****. quite a double standard.
I agree with both of these statements because I am a player on these sites. But you would also be surprised on how many well recognized / reputable people do this.
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Old 03-17-2010, 04:10 PM   #759
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Re: Stoxtrader cheating/multi accounting discussion

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Originally Posted by Don't mind me View Post
The only thing is your buddy in the BB loses EV (to both you and to the enemy) by folding hands he should be overcalling, so I don't really think this is an effective colluding strategy.
If you assume they are communicating while playing and not just staying out of each others way then obviously if bb has premiums or even a better hand than sb then sb is just going to fold therefore a huge % of the time when sb would be pushing lighter knowing he doesn't have to worry about bb would be spots where bb would have a folding hand anyways.

And if they are staying out of each others way and coordinated their playing schedule as much as the evidence possibly indicates, then it seems likely that they would go that extra mile and communicate about current hands while playing as well.
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Old 03-17-2010, 04:13 PM   #760
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Re: Stoxtrader cheating/multi accounting discussion

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Originally Posted by sickofitall View Post
people are right in saying that a t-test is not the most appropriate thing to do here. so here comes the contingency table version:

we have 2 yes/no variables:

1) pots +-20BB played between 40 putts and kinetica:

yes 29 no 2872

2) pots +-20BB played between 40 putts and all others:

yes 326 no 10459

if we take the cross product ratio (to get the ratio of the conditional probabilities) we compute 29*10459/326*2872 = 0.324

this is the ODDS RATIO which means that kinetica and 40putts are about one third as likely to play a pot together than 40putts against the rest, or in other words: the probability of 40putts and kinetica playing a 20bb pot as compared to 40putts playing a 20BB pot against the rest is reduced by 67.6%.

and the statistical significance of this result goes through the roof as the Chi square value is 37.03 with 1 degree of freedom. (Would already be highly significant with a value of 8.)
This is how i would have approached the problem. Looks right to me.
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Old 03-17-2010, 04:19 PM   #761
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Re: Stoxtrader cheating/multi accounting discussion

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I want to quote part of Viffers good post, but it will just get me banned again so I won't. But I will comment on the issue of CRers(and a lot of others) knowing BT was multi accounting.


I was told sometime mid-08 by someone affiliated with CRers that not only did BT have 1 extra account(as he confessed to I believe) he had many of them, and that he even was aided by CRers employees in setting them up. Tough to believe someone low on the CRers staff knew everything, but Taylor did not. This was before Lee even joined CRers I believe, it was being managed by Zimba, who was made to sign a confidentiality agreement before leaving.

In fact I recall a conversation I had with Taylor at the CRers party that year where I told him I was frustrated with the number of people switching accounts on FTP 10/20, and his response was basically that why don't you do it too, everyone else is cheating to gain ev so you should do counter it.


also there is a guest pro on CRers who still multi accounts FTP 5/10-25/50 when he does play it, I've played vs him under both(that I know of) in the past multiple times...and have won significantly vs him so this isn't a grudge post. I'll let CRers out him tho, time they start confessing.


oh and for those who don't play HSNL and are wondering why it takes so long for stuff people have known to come out, its because for most people its better to keep someones 2nd account secret because as long as the secret is hidden you know and few others do and thats it, whereas when it does come out(not publicly, but in the HS community) those players will just get new secret accounts, which then you won't know about.

reposting for those that missed it

and I really hope that we as the HSNL community eventually address my last paragraph after this thing is over. everyone who cheats gets by because either their friends know and won't tell to avoid violating friendship, or because they fear the cheater will just make new accounts.
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Old 03-17-2010, 04:25 PM   #762
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Re: Stoxtrader cheating/multi accounting discussion

I know at least 5 people off the top of my head that use vpn's and play for a living.

And they all make damn good livings too
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Old 03-17-2010, 04:26 PM   #763
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Re: Stoxtrader cheating/multi accounting discussion

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Originally Posted by Moneyball16 View Post
And if they are staying out of each others way and coordinated their playing schedule as much as the evidence possibly indicates, then it seems likely that they would go that extra mile and communicate about current hands while playing as well.
They certainly wouldn't need to though. If you are sitting next to someone in a poker game, especially short handed, your options become plentiful. Even if they have to play you as if the game were straight up. I saw one hand they played against each other where one had AA (button) and the other had KK from the (BB). Button made it $800 to go and isolated against two limpers I believe and the Kings flatted the BB OOP. The flop came low and they were forced to just get it all in because if they didn't it would be obvious collusion. That doesn't mean that they didn't transfer the money on another site five minutes later. To someone that maybe doesn't play a lot of poker that hand might look innocent enough because one stacked the other, that might even be a hand they would point to that they weren't colluding. Unless you see the money exchanged it is indeed hard to prove.

hand-history/stars/24735526855/600757882 (you'll have to add the first part as 2+2 has table ratings blocked.)

Like most others I think the time stamp stuff sealed the deal for me and if the pattern could be shown even more extensively that would be pretty damning IMO.

Last edited by beanie; 03-17-2010 at 04:32 PM.
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Old 03-17-2010, 04:32 PM   #764
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Re: Possible cheating multi acounting

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Originally Posted by thaaj View Post
they will claim they are roomates...stars will accept that excuse...end of story.

In stox case silence speaks loud. Stoxpoker is the home of the largest scumbags around. Don't purport to be a killer to sell subscriptions if you are really just a bottom feeder. YOU ARE STEALING FROM YOUR CUSTOMERS. Sorry but basically everyone on stoxpoker is completely clueless. How do you hire that Jason Ho character? The best player on stoxpoker is fist pumping dusty and that is simply pathetic. You should all go skydiving without parachutes. Ty for trying your hardest to ruin online poker guys. YAY.
Is it? I am pretty sure Dusty is no longer there.
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Old 03-17-2010, 04:33 PM   #765
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Re: Stoxtrader cheating/multi accounting discussion

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Originally Posted by viffer View Post
short stacks short answers,

smoke and mirrors, he must of doubled up now the rat is holing

noone made these accounts up but you, you either did or didnt so you are right it wont take long to answer yes or no?

also i have nothing to gain or lose by your company, actually if cardrunners were to lose money it would cost me money, i have some to lose, but its not about them or your company right now its about you!!!!!!
I guess what Stox is trying to say is that he needs time to collude with the others to make sure they have a cohesive story to tell. Surely even you with your educatament can realize that...
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