Hi, just working on my math here and would like a little help.
Obviously on the flop we have no fold equity. I expect my Q to be good here as well, so figure I have about 12 outs = 45% equity more or less. So calling isn't an option, just wondering how I figure out my equity needed to call (an by call I mean shove).
Poker Stars $5.00+$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t25/t50 Blinds - 2 players
Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked
Hero (BTN/SB): t860 17.20 BBs
BB: t2140 42.80 BBs
(t75) Hero is BTN/SB with Q
Hero raises to t100
, BB calls t50
4 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t120
, BB raises to t350
, Hero raises to t760 all in
, BB calls t410
(t1720) 8 (2 players - 1 is all in)
(t1720) 2 (2 players - 1 is all in)
Pot is 670 after his c/r and I have 640 behind
I guess lets assume he will fold .05% of the time I fold
equity = (0.05 * 670) + (.095 * .45 * 1720) - (.95 * .55 * 1720)
= 33.5 + 735.3 - 898.7
= - 129.9 chips
So if I fold I lose 220 chips but if I shove I'm losing 129.9
Is this right?