Hey guys! I've been shoving small PPs over min 3bets readless at 25 bb but I havent been in that situation that often and from my small experience I havent gotten barely any folds.
Let us say 22 vs a 4b calling range of 88+,ATs+,ATo+,KJs+,QJs+,KQo
Please tell me if this is a ridiculous range for min3b/call 4b readless.
22 has ~40% equity.
From this calculation (I ignore expected value from calling):
If we want EV(shove) > EV(fold) = 0
where x is % of folds from opponent.
EV(Shove) = EV(Fold from opp) + EV(If called)
EV(Shove) = (pot after min3b)*x + (calling frequency)*(EV from losing + EV from winning)
EV(Shove) = 120x + (1-x)*(0.6(-460)+0.4(540))
EV(Shove) = 180x - 60
180x - 60 > 0 => x = ~33%
Unless I messed up the calculations we need villain to fold 33% of the time for a shove to be profitable and i'm really not convinced this is the case. Thoughts?
I dunno if your calcs are correct, but id widen up that range a bit, esp first hand. But I dont think that means you'll really get that many more folds though, haha
yeah just openship, as played def just ship over his min 3bet. also range is different, villains that min 3bet will likely have weak Ax here much more often than big Ax, and they tend to spazzcall.
44 I'd probably still open at 25bb vs most people, def readless
meh depends if you have any reads. at lower stakes and vs known non reg i think jamming is better since they will have very low 3b frequency first hand.
huge nittery, but this isn't a min3bet - which would be to t60. Not sure what to call these, I once seen a phmerc video where he called them baby-3bet so I call them that lol. not that it changes much, but I often find a player who actually min3bets to t60 is a retard that will call jam with A2o and such.
huge nittery, but this isn't a min3bet - which would be to t60. Not sure what to call these, I once seen a phmerc video where he called them baby-3bet so I call them that lol. not that it changes much, but I often find a player who actually min3bets to t60 is a retard that will call jam with A2o and such.
in a hyper I'd get any pair in over any 3bet unless trapping is better or villain has an obv strong range (need strong reads for that)
What about aces? Would you fold A2o? Which ones would you call/shove?
With A2o you need 60% folds to break even on a 4bet shove assuming 25% EQ when called. So readless its either extremely -EV or marginally +EV.
Obviously we can open up our 4bet shoving range a LOT if we see him doing this with any sort of frequency.
Call or fold vs the first small 3 bet is fine. I prefer a fold with A2o. Its just such a unplayable hand. He needs to be pretty passive for it to turn in to a obvious +EV call.
I prefer calling with hands like 86s, 43s, 87o, Q9o and suited hands like Qxs that can flop a FD + one over card. Basically what we want to do is to have enough equity to shove profitably vs his very probable cbet.