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Old 06-01-2012, 08:28 PM   #1
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4b shove vs min3b first hand

    Poker Stars, $14.69 Buy-in (10/20 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 2 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #13031501

    Hero (SB): 500 (25 bb)
    BB: 500 (25 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with 3 3
    Hero raises to 40, BB raises to 80, Hero raises to 500 and is all-in, BB calls 420 and is all-in

    Flop: (1,000) 8 5 6 (2 players, 2 are all-in)
    Turn: (1,000) K (2 players, 2 are all-in)
    River: (1,000) 2 (2 players, 2 are all-in)

    Spoiler:



    Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.




    Hey guys! I've been shoving small PPs over min 3bets readless at 25 bb but I havent been in that situation that often and from my small experience I havent gotten barely any folds.

    Let us say 22 vs a 4b calling range of 88+,ATs+,ATo+,KJs+,QJs+,KQo
    Please tell me if this is a ridiculous range for min3b/call 4b readless.
    22 has ~40% equity.

    From this calculation (I ignore expected value from calling):
    If we want EV(shove) > EV(fold) = 0
    where x is % of folds from opponent.
    EV(Shove) = EV(Fold from opp) + EV(If called)
    EV(Shove) = (pot after min3b)*x + (calling frequency)*(EV from losing + EV from winning)
    EV(Shove) = 120x + (1-x)*(0.6(-460)+0.4(540))
    EV(Shove) = 180x - 60
    180x - 60 > 0 => x = ~33%

    Unless I messed up the calculations we need villain to fold 33% of the time for a shove to be profitable and i'm really not convinced this is the case. Thoughts?
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    Old 06-01-2012, 09:49 PM   #2
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    I dunno if your calcs are correct, but id widen up that range a bit, esp first hand. But I dont think that means you'll really get that many more folds though, haha
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    Old 06-01-2012, 10:27 PM   #3
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    Re: 4b shove vs min3b first hand

    Yes, the math is right, but i think readless a 3b/calling range should be wider. But I don't play hyperturbos, so wait for better responses

    gl
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    Old 06-01-2012, 10:38 PM   #4
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    Re: 4b shove vs min3b first hand

    Just shove pre readless. It is profitable automatically with a hand you will struggle to find value played any other way.
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    Old 06-01-2012, 11:16 PM   #5
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    Re: 4b shove vs min3b first hand

    If you assume he actually min 3 bets 15%, and only calls 9.5% range as you suggest (folding 33~% of the time) its highly positive with any pair.

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    Old 06-02-2012, 02:38 AM   #6
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    Re: 4b shove vs min3b first hand

    yeah just openship, as played def just ship over his min 3bet. also range is different, villains that min 3bet will likely have weak Ax here much more often than big Ax, and they tend to spazzcall.
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    Old 06-02-2012, 11:14 AM   #7
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    Re: 4b shove vs min3b first hand

    Is this the consensus then? Small PPs should be openshoved readless at 25 bb?
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    Old 06-02-2012, 12:08 PM   #8
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    Re: 4b shove vs min3b first hand

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Torg0th View Post
    Is this the consensus then? Small PPs should be openshoved readless at 25 bb?
    22-44 for sure, 55 it's close and depends a lot on general tendencies of your villains.

    gl
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    Old 06-02-2012, 12:58 PM   #9
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    Re: 4b shove vs min3b first hand

    44 I'd probably still open at 25bb vs most people, def readless
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    Old 06-02-2012, 02:16 PM   #10
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    Re: 4b shove vs min3b first hand

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by JSpazz View Post
    44 I'd probably still open at 25bb vs most people, def readless
    meh depends if you have any reads. at lower stakes and vs known non reg i think jamming is better since they will have very low 3b frequency first hand.

    55 def opening
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    Old 06-02-2012, 05:17 PM   #11
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    Re: 4b shove vs min3b first hand

    huge nittery, but this isn't a min3bet - which would be to t60. Not sure what to call these, I once seen a phmerc video where he called them baby-3bet so I call them that lol. not that it changes much, but I often find a player who actually min3bets to t60 is a retard that will call jam with A2o and such.
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    Old 06-03-2012, 06:53 AM   #12
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    Re: 4b shove vs min3b first hand

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by _dave_ View Post
    huge nittery, but this isn't a min3bet - which would be to t60. Not sure what to call these, I once seen a phmerc video where he called them baby-3bet so I call them that lol. not that it changes much, but I often find a player who actually min3bets to t60 is a retard that will call jam with A2o and such.
    in a hyper I'd get any pair in over any 3bet unless trapping is better or villain has an obv strong range (need strong reads for that)
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    Old 06-04-2012, 09:02 PM   #13
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    Re: 4b shove vs min3b first hand

    What about aces? Would you fold A2o? Which ones would you call/shove?
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    Old 06-04-2012, 11:49 PM   #14
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    Re: 4b shove vs min3b first hand

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Torg0th View Post
    What about aces? Would you fold A2o? Which ones would you call/shove?
    With A2o you need 60% folds to break even on a 4bet shove assuming 25% EQ when called. So readless its either extremely -EV or marginally +EV.
    Obviously we can open up our 4bet shoving range a LOT if we see him doing this with any sort of frequency.


    Call or fold vs the first small 3 bet is fine. I prefer a fold with A2o. Its just such a unplayable hand. He needs to be pretty passive for it to turn in to a obvious +EV call.

    I prefer calling with hands like 86s, 43s, 87o, Q9o and suited hands like Qxs that can flop a FD + one over card. Basically what we want to do is to have enough equity to shove profitably vs his very probable cbet.
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