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06-14-2012, 02:56 PM
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#1
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 5,484
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$15 hyper: sort-of-counterfeited 2 pair otr, any value left?
320 eff otr
villain is a fish, unfortunately i can't locate my notes on him 'cause he's not playing atm. think he was on the passive side post from the small sample i have.
iirc he checked river pretty quickly which discounts a 6 quite a lot imo.
if you do bet what's your sizing?
Poker Stars, $14.69 Buy-in (10/20 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 2 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
Hero (SB): 500 (25 bb)
BB: 500 (25 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with T  9
Hero raises to 40, BB calls 20
Flop: (80) T  6  9 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 40, BB calls 40
Turn: (160) Q (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 100, BB calls 100
River: (360) 6 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero
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06-14-2012, 03:31 PM
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#2
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adept
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 786
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Re: $15 hyper: sort-of-counterfeited 2 pair otr, any value left?
i probably check back this river.. you're only getting called by hands that have you beat imo.
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06-14-2012, 03:38 PM
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#3
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adept
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 786
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Re: $15 hyper: sort-of-counterfeited 2 pair otr, any value left?
Quote:
Originally Posted by I<3Poker
IMHO that's a clear value-bet on the river.
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what are we getting value from besides hero calls, 22-88 that don't believe us? and 9x, and Tx type hands?
I just don't think there are enough hands in his range we get value from, versus hands that we're value owning ourselves on.
having his stats would make a difference in my decision, but I still don't think checking back is wrong here.. If you are Betting its a Bet/Fold right? I think that's awful when our hand has great showdown value..
you're folding out most hands you beat here, and getting called or raised by hands that have you crushed.
Last edited by fluffheadsr; 06-14-2012 at 03:54 PM.
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06-14-2012, 03:39 PM
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#4
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grinder
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 509
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Re: $15 hyper: sort-of-counterfeited 2 pair otr, any value left?
Sorry, I misread the board.
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06-14-2012, 03:41 PM
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#5
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 5,484
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Re: $15 hyper: sort-of-counterfeited 2 pair otr, any value left?
Tx and 9x?
Last edited by phos77; 06-14-2012 at 03:42 PM.
Reason: Nice ninja edit fluff!
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06-14-2012, 03:49 PM
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#6
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adept
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 786
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Re: $15 hyper: sort-of-counterfeited 2 pair otr, any value left?
Quote:
Originally Posted by phos77
Tx and 9x?
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hehe, sometimes i type then hit post, then read, and edit and read and edit till its like I want it.. probably a bad habit, but if you see me posting give it a few minutes to make sure i'm done editing :P
there just aren't that many T's and 9's in his range.. considering 50% of them are in play.. that's why i really like a check back..
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06-14-2012, 04:16 PM
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#7
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 5,484
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Re: $15 hyper: sort-of-counterfeited 2 pair otr, any value left?
haha np, just added it in there so i don't look like an idiot
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06-14-2012, 04:24 PM
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#8
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veteran
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Aberdeen, Scotland
Posts: 2,707
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Re: $15 hyper: sort-of-counterfeited 2 pair otr, any value left?
bet turn a bit smaller 80-90, vbet river definitely enough Tx 9x that calls. i'd b/f small like t90.
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06-14-2012, 04:41 PM
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#9
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adept
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: israel
Posts: 1,111
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Re: $15 hyper: sort-of-counterfeited 2 pair otr, any value left?
close,i think chk river is best myb small value bet,we get value only from 9x pretty much and after he flat turn and two of them out,too thin imo.
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06-14-2012, 04:51 PM
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#10
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banned
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 115
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Re: $15 hyper: sort-of-counterfeited 2 pair otr, any value left?
i think it also depends a little bit on whether or not you think you'll be playing this person again.
if you're probably only going to play this single game, you're probably better off checking... just because it's the safer play. there are still a lot of hands that beat you and not too many hands that you beat that will also call another bet.
but if you're playing a series of games against this person... maybe making a value bet is better because it will make your bluffs more effective in the future.
it also depends on how light you think this person will call you down. some people make really stupid decisions in these hypers... and if you're pretty confident that your hand is good, go ahead and make the value bet. if you're not too confident, just check.
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06-14-2012, 04:57 PM
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#11
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journeyman
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 338
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Re: $15 hyper: sort-of-counterfeited 2 pair otr, any value left?
I am vbetting small on river, like coffeeyay said, b/f ~80 is good. Don't get into habit of checking back vbet spots, even very very thin spots like this.
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06-14-2012, 06:18 PM
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#12
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veteran
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Aberdeen, Scotland
Posts: 2,707
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Re: $15 hyper: sort-of-counterfeited 2 pair otr, any value left?
Quote:
Originally Posted by theMAGICman
i think it also depends a little bit on whether or not you think you'll be playing this person again.
if you're probably only going to play this single game, you're probably better off checking... just because it's the safer play. there are still a lot of hands that beat you and not too many hands that you beat that will also call another bet.
but if you're playing a series of games against this person... maybe making a value bet is better because it will make your bluffs more effective in the future.
it also depends on how light you think this person will call you down. some people make really stupid decisions in these hypers... and if you're pretty confident that your hand is good, go ahead and make the value bet. if you're not too confident, just check.
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really disagree with all of this, especially the logic.
You really shouldn't make plays based on metagame you should make them based on best expectation right now. It will be more profitable in the longrun.
Also don't make plays based on flimsly assumptions of confidence off small sample size make them based on adjusted population tendecies. Also why do you say that we should vbet only when confident it's good? based on population tendency you should check back only if you're super confident you can't vbet.
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06-14-2012, 07:36 PM
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#13
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_Pooh_Bah_
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: UK
Posts: 9,145
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Re: $15 hyper: sort-of-counterfeited 2 pair otr, any value left?
Quote:
Originally Posted by phos77
villain is a fish, unfortunately i can't locate my notes on him 'cause he's not playing atm.
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fwiw you can get their notes by going in the lobby "Options -> Player Notes", and typing in their name.
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06-14-2012, 07:49 PM
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#14
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Mexico City
Posts: 5,827
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Re: $15 hyper: sort-of-counterfeited 2 pair otr, any value left?
Checking is fine, I'd hate having to fold to a c/r
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06-14-2012, 08:09 PM
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#15
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 5,484
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Re: $15 hyper: sort-of-counterfeited 2 pair otr, any value left?
Quote:
Originally Posted by _dave_
fwiw you can get their notes by going in the lobby "Options -> Player Notes", and typing in their name.
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ty, i actually emailed stars after making this thread to ask the same thing
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