Considering a 0 % ROI player has approx 0.16 % chance of making a run like that over 100 games I would say it's very, very, very likely someone has. With 5 % ROI chances are 0.5 %, so most regs with a similar ROI have experienced the pleasure.

And I've had more than 30 %+ over 100 tournaments, and I've also had -30 % over 100 tournaments.

Let me know when you find out, so I can stop doing it, too.

25% over 134 games (last week) $50s

is this another ploy to try to get me to sign up for HUSNG.COM?

I'm studying mientjeuh...so yeah i'll pass BRO.

Thanks guys, I guess I should have asked for one more thing:

If you have done it, do you mind telling your long-term ROI also.

You packed a lot of wise commentary in a short post. I do appreciate it. I understand your point about making it 60 or 75 instead of auto-90. I do mix it up and make it 60 with some hands, I just happened to pot it with the medium king. I haven't made it 75 before, I will consider that as well.

I've thought the same thing about making it 5x with a monster preflop if they are a calling station but even a calling station will figure out eventually that 5x is a tell of great strength so it might work only once or twice against someone. I think you're right to balance your range even when you don't need to as it makes it harder to put you on a hand. They will see enough showdowns to know you can have AA sometimes with your 2.5x raise preflop and not just the garden variety buttonraise crap (J8o, Q2s, etc.). That also earns you respect so you don't get repopped preflop with those medium strength hands when you are in position. As much.

It's interesting the villain check-raised all-in rather than raising pot or thereabouts. "Strong means weak" came to mind as I struggled to decide how to respond. Or he could have a baby flush, who knows.

At first I thought you were leveling him but taking another look at that board, it seems the villain was calling to prevent what he thought was a steal attempt at his half of the chop (playing the board). He might have thought a bet there is either really strong (like what hero had) or a bluff, and more likely the latter, and decided to look hero up at least for the info.

So Sejje, post a couple of these worse calls you get all the time LOL.

woo back to even

fk u thursday

sorry you asked for a coach and I threw out something that is cheap and has a decent amount of information. I have no interest in how you obtain information with which you use to better yourself.

In other news, please refrain from calling me "BRO" but my advice to post hands/add thoughts to threads still holds. It is how I bent the learning curve to my favor and it is the easiest way for you to do it.

Ignore my advice at your own peril.

You're welcome. With all due respect, sir, I find it extremely hard to believe you have played "millions and millions of hands" given that it took you over a month to get not even 100 of these heads-ups tournaments under your belt.

"Millions and millions." That would be 4 million at least, if you want to be exact about it. If you 4-tabled at 60 hands per hour on each table for 8 hours a day, 5 days a week, it would take you EIGHT YEARS to have played "millions and millions" of hands. 2-tabling is 16 years, 1-tabling is 32 years. So I don't know your experience if it was brick and mortar (25 Hph), home game (25Hph), or online (60Hphpt), but it would have to have been online and were talking like heavy duty full time-ish multitabling since the early days when Chris Moneymaker was playing sattelites from his home computer.

My sixth sense is you are not kidding or levelling this post. You actually said that your run of over 30% ROI over a relatively insignficant sample size was "neither hot nor cold." You ran as HOT as HELL. If you weren't a good poker player your ROI would have still been positive but just not as high. I will give you the benefit of the doubt that you are a superstar poker savant (I'm not being sarcastic, because you very well might be). Your run is hot even for a savant, sir.

I'd be interested in knowing your username and poker site so we can follow your progress.

Sometimes people beat you into the pot when you have a hand that could possibly have decent equity versus a few hands, but when you consider the possibility of their entire range it can become apparent how badly you are probably beat. Versus an opponent who ch/r a lot I would check behind on that flop the vast % of the time.

FWIW the best forum on 2+2 is the SSNL forum and I highly recommend reading through their stickies. It will improve your game dramatically; although it refers to cash games, but a lot of the wisdom can be translated into HUSNG's. Just don't overestimate your fold equity and get it all in with FD's all the time.

I agree with sejje. There is a fine line between calling out bull**** and making a personal attack. Former is OK. Latter is not.

[ ] 74% win percentage over 122 games at the $20 stake (this works out to a 41% ROI assuming $21 entry fee for $40 prize)

[X] Liar Liar Pants On Fire

It took you 3 years to do 122 headsup tournaments? Even if you played only the fishiest of the fish with super-ultra-extreme opponent selection (which one tournament every 9 days would qualify as), you STILL couldn't possibly get this win rate unless you're talking NBI tourneys then all bets are off.

Yep, you earned it.
1, 2, 3...GTFO.

You, sir, are an idiot.

I find it critical to use the whole range (2bb - 5bb) in the early blind levels to determine if villian will fold a higher% to one raise vs the other. Some get scared of min raise and fold more than to 4bb, while other will dump to the 4bb every time, but never to the 2bb cause of pot odds. Then by the time it counts in the mid levels, you can play optimal against that opponent based on what you want him to do. Many villains won't change this regardless of what hand you show down. You just pound them with the most ev play vs thier pre-determined style.

But hopefully he is an observant villain. He might not just react to the raise amount, but wait to see what hands you show and then pair strength or weakness to the raise value. By mid tourney, he thinks you are giving away information based on raise size. Of course, the good hero also remembers what strength he showed per raise amount. If you showed a big hand on a 2bb raise, and a weak one with a 4bb raise and the villain catches on, you are GOLD. You switch it for the second half, raising 4bb with strength and 2bb with weakness and the villain calls you all ur big hands (for big raises) and folds to all your weak hands with minimum risk.

OMG you are hitting all my peeves, Mr. Pythagoras. I have read thru all the posts and havent seen one hateful post yet. That's first of all. Second of all, you did NOT just open up the door to questioning whether FT is random.

[ ] FT is "much more streaky than normal random"

[ ] The earth is flat.

[X ] Water is wet.

[ X ] Accusations of FT lacking randomness provide cover for people's self-delusions of grandeur

anyone wana 4 man on full tilt for the next 45 minutes?..I've had 2 beers, feelin a tiny buzz but I'm playing ****in outstanding and am in the best mood of my life awaiting the yankees to dominate there way into the world series.

Any stakes, who cares.

It would take so much history for this to occur that I doubt your theory has much merit.

I honestly never even knew this was good until this week. I play normal tourneys. Read my earlier post. I have been cash game player for 10 years. I would play some HU tourneys as a break. Played those $20 over 3 years. Knew I was winning, but didn’t know my rate was considered good or anything. I didn’t even really track them in PT compared to the way I track cash games.

Last month I played $50 for a day, first time I play HU in months, if not a year. I went 8 - 2. Decided to keep playing. Played 100, ran at 30% ROI 68-32, and $65 hour. My cash game hourly is only $35, so I think, hey maybe I onto something here. Let me do some research. Today, I get sharkscope subscription, I check out this forum and realize, I am doing pretty good. Clearly, not sustainable, clearly small sample size, but even so, pretty good.

Based on comments on this forum, I am as intrigued as you. Can I be really good at these? Can I be on that sick of a run? Could I have been grinding cash for 10 years and missed my calling? All I can do is stay in touch, run it up to 500 and see where I am.

The same thing happened to me man.. sometimes FTP will be out to end you it seems. I needed a change of scenery, I moved all my money to pokerstars.

If I hadn't of done that I would have been broke 4 months ago..

And if u really wana get back on the right pace, move ur cash to PS, play regular speed 10 minute blind increases. Before you tell yourself youd rather drink lead then play 10 minute blinds just think of it this way..you have 10 minutes at each level, thats 10 minutes of hands, 10 minutes of decisions without the rush, and 10 minutes more of improvement.. works wonders bro

I'd go crazy with 10 minute blinds...

i'd be down...but i'm in a 10 dollar 4 man atm.

The exact opposite is true. I find this happening is a very short period of time (1 - 2 tournies) as the villian tries to use the small pieces of info you give him to his advantage.

I think over time, with large history, he would figure out that you are more random than he first thought and start playing optimal again. I have not played more than 7 tournies with one villian, so I am guessing on the long-term.

Again I am misunderstood. I believe that FT is equal in the long run. But it uses a computer random generator. By definition a computer random generator can not be perfectly random. So I was just asking for real-life experiences that either matched or did not match the mathematics that is based on pure randomness of every event. (Which is different from long-term equality)

what i am saying is that the majority of players don't pick up on these things and a player would need you to do something several times to infer a pattern and then you would need a period of time to ensure that he has seen said pattern and to exploit it.

Setting people up takes time, and history, and it will work once versus a good player and probably cost you $$ in actually setting it up.