Is this a good spot to bluff against top pair? - Heads Up SNG and Spin and Gos -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

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Is this a good spot to bluff against top pair?

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06-30-2013 , 09:16 AM

jyt

enthusiast

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 65

I knew that when opp raised me on the flop that he had top pair. However I played on with intention of outdrawing him (5 outs) + bluff outs. Is this a good spot to bluff?

Poker Stars $1.38+$0.12 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t10/t20 Blinds - 2 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN/SB: t1460 73 BBs
Hero (BB): t1540 77 BBs

Pre Flop: (t30) Hero is BB with 8

BTN/SB calls t10, Hero checks

Flop: (t40) 6

(2 players)
Hero bets t40, BTN/SB raises to t140, Hero calls t100

Turn: (t320) 6

(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN/SB bets t40, Hero calls t40

River: (t400) J

(2 players)
Hero bets t380, BTN/SB ??

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06-30-2013 , 02:43 PM

stone75

adept

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 881

i would say this is spew given that flush draws are a big part of his range

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06-30-2013 , 05:00 PM

beHypE

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 1,984

The flop+turn and river plans are really contradictory, you either call flop+turn in the hopes he's drawing thus should c/f this river pretty happily, or you call because you think he's FOS (calling flop if you think he has a K seems pretty bad) and then there's no point shipping the river, c/c becomes better. Just c/f though.

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06-30-2013 , 08:42 PM

Bluffyou

adept

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 758

Quote:

Originally Posted by jyt

I knew that when opp raised me on the flop that he had top pair.

You can not be certain, he could have a flush draw. What about two pair? Either way, river is a fold because your not folding out anything of that nature at $1.50

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06-30-2013 , 11:00 PM

jyt

enthusiast

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 65

Ok maybe flush draws are a part of his range but he c-r a few times before with top pair and I didn't think that he would play a flush like that but maybe I'm wrong. I guess I should've folded the flop then?

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07-01-2013 , 12:57 AM

Pamik

centurion

Join Date: Feb 2013 Posts: 114

flush or not you are not folding top pair there

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07-01-2013 , 01:03 AM

Bluffyou

adept

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 758

Quote:

Originally Posted by jyt

If your intention is to soley to outdraw a King I believe you should have rather folded the flop. Your pot odds are 31% so you need at least that in equity to continue. And thats equity just for the turn card because you can be sure to expect another bet on the turn if you're sure he has a king.

But thats only if your sure he has the top pair. If you correctly analyse his range I think you'll find that he has a lot of different combos after having limed the button.

Personally I can find a call on the flop, easy turn call, fold river.

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