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 hyper - river bet sizing with marginal value  hyper - river bet sizing with marginal value

07-21-2016 , 04:33 PM
No reads. What size would you bet the river? Some draws completed. Also, most 4x should've fold the turn, so no value to be extracted from 4x. He also doesn't have too many 7x, as we block some 7x combos (76) he could have. No pocket pairs in his range either. Just bet 1/5 pot to get value from K high with clubs, 87 and a rare 76? Or even check this river behind?

PokerStars - $6.85+$0.15|10/20 NL (2 max) - Holdem - 2 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (SB): 20 BB
BB: 30 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A 6

Hero calls 0.5 BB, BB checks

Flop: (2 BB, 2 players) 4 A 5
BB checks, Hero bets 1.25 BB, BB calls 1.25 BB

Turn: (4.5 BB, 2 players) 7
BB checks, Hero bets 2.8 BB, BB calls 2.8 BB

River: (10.1 BB, 2 players) 5
BB checks, [color=red]Hero bets ?
 hyper - river bet sizing with marginal value Quote
07-22-2016 , 02:06 AM
You cannot get value from Ax,cause it's pretty unlikely that he has one.
Plus his range looks like hands with a draw and a pair or only draws.
I gues he wouldn't call two streets with a bare K-high.
But again in these stakes betting 1/5 of the pot is a very very good way of getting thin value from any random part of his range.
These chips count.
I like the 1/5 of the pot.
 hyper - river bet sizing with marginal value Quote
07-22-2016 , 05:43 AM
Bet 2.x and fold to a raise. It's possible he flopped the wheel or binked a 5. Betting larger would be shooting yourself in the foot so to speak.

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 hyper - river bet sizing with marginal value Quote

      
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