What sizing would you pick if bluffing? Seems like a spot where I cant really have many bluffs at all, so 1/2 sizing with both value/bluffs should be good? Or do we get called too often by 10x if we pick 1/2 sizing?
I put in a range aswell under the hand history approximating the standard calling range on turn. A few more backdoor flushes probably. I excluded suited A K/A Q since I assume A K/A Q dont call turn probes a 100% of the time. Not sure how often a hand like K 8s will call the turn either compared to A 8. Also some straightdraws will be cbet on the flop aswell.
All in all, if we do get to the river like this, it is a profitable spot to bluff?
PokerStars - $28.20+$1.80|10/20 NL (3 max) - Holdem - 3 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
SB: 460 (VPIP: 54.69, PFR: 22.95, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 67)
Hero (BB): 640
BTN: 400 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
SB posts SB 10,
Hero posts BB 20
Pre Flop: (pot: 30) Hero has K
5
BTN raises to 40,
fold,
Hero calls 20
Flop: (90, 2 players) J
7
9
Hero checks,
BTN checks
Turn: (90, 2 players) 3
Hero bets 63,
BTN calls 63
River: (216, 2 players) T
TT, 88, ATs-A9s, A7s, KQs, KTs-K8s, QTs-Q9s, T9s, 98s, AdQd, Ad8d, Ad6d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad2d, AQo+, ATo-A7o, KQo, KTo-K9o, QTo-Q9o, T9o